Looking around the league and matchups it’s apparent that there are a lot of bad offensive lineman and quarterbacks starting in the NFL. Whether you put the blame on the CBA and the amount of contact and padded practices a team can have or you put it on the spread crazed offenses in college football, the quality of play is down across the board. I say all that to say this, when choosing players to put in your lineups it’s essential that you take a look at the offensive line and quarterback play. The matchup at times can be too sweet to pass up but if a team has either a great quarterback or a solid offensive line, then they’re chances of producing fantasy numbers increases quite a bit.
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Week 11
Start – Derek Carr vs Patriots
The up and down campaign from Derek Carr continued as he threw for his 3rd consecutive 300 yard game in Week 9, which was followed by three consecutive games where he failed to record a 200 yard passing game. Will the real Derek Carr please stand up?! Carr has battled injuries over the last 2 seasons and the once dynamic Raiders offense looks to be regressing into a dink and dunk stale and stagnant offense. The Raiders are coming off of a bye week and hopefully they get things together this week against the New England Patriots. Carr’s receivers, particularly Amari Cooper, has struggled mightily with drops and their inability to get open. The Raiders and Carr had their biggest success when playing Cooper in the slot. Look for them to get their star receiver more opportunities in the slot against a Patriots defense that doesn’t have the personnel to match up with the Raiders weapons. Collectively, the defense of the Patriots are improved from the first four games of the season, however, I still believe there are major holes that Carr can take advantage of come Sunday.
Sit – Jared Goff vs Vikings
Last year’s first round pick Jared Goff was left for dead after his abysmal rookie season. Many fantasy football prognosticators considered him a bust after just 8 games under Jeff Fisher’s rudimentary offense. What a difference a year makes and what a difference having an offensive mind in Sean McVay has been for Goff’s development. Goff leads the number one scoring offense in the league throwing for 16 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions. The last two weeks have been particularly impressive for Goff throwing for 7 touchdowns and 666 yards. Then why is he a sit this week you ask? Those last 2 games have come against a Giants defense that has given up on their head coach and the season and a Texans pass defense that gets shredded every week. If you take a closer look at Goff’s game log this season, he excels against week defenses but has struggled against strong D’s like the Seahawks and Jaguars. Here comes another strong defense in the Minnesota Vikings where the Rams will have to travel east. This is a litmus test game for Goff to see how he will perform if the Rams get into the playoffs. I believe he will struggle to put up fantasy points so proceed with caution.
Start – Tevin Coleman vs Seahawks
The opportunity for Tevin Coleman to be the lead dog in the Falcons backfield has finally arrived. Many Coleman truthers including CPGM Juice, who believes Coleman is a better back than Devonta Freeman, has a chance to provide evidence that there is validity to their beliefs. I don’t agree with the “Coleman is better than Freeman” crew but I believe Coleman is a dynamic running back that can carry the load for the Falcons this week. The Seahawks are banged up in the secondary which will lead Matt Ryan and company to attack them on the perimeter, however to beat the Seahawks cover 3 defense the Falcons will need to get Coleman 20 carries and at least 5 targets out of the backfield. Fantasy owners should get Coleman in their lineup for Monday Night Football because volume is key for fantasy success.
- Alvin Kamara vs Redskins
- Jerrick McKinnon vs Rams
- Jay Ajayi vs Cowboys
- Doug Martin vs Dolphins
- Chris Thompson vs Saints
Sit – Alfred Morris vs Eagles
This is strictly a gameflow sit for Alfred Morris. With the Ezekiel Elliott suspension there are two things that are very clear with the Cowboys backfield. Number 1 – Morris will get the start and get the first couple carries of the game. Number 2 – Morris will not be on the field in passing situations as the Cowboys will lean on Rod Smith. Fantasy owners must now decide each week what type of game they expect to be played in the Cowboys matchup. This week the Boys face off against the Philadelphia Eagles who boast one of the league’s most prolific offenses in the National Football League. Carson Wentz and company will have the pedal to the metal and beat up on the Cowboys defense that is missing their star defensive player Sean Lee. If the Cowboys get behind early, then game flow will make the Cowboys remove Morris from the game rendering him unsafe for your fantasy teams. Tread lightly with Morris this week.
Start – Larry Fitzgerald vs Texans
The older Larry Fitzgerald is playing a lot like the old Fitzgerald when he first came into the league. Translation – It doesn’t matter what quarterback is throwing him the football; Fitzgerald just makes plays time after time after time. Some may be concerned with starting Fitz this week with third string quarterback Blaine Gabbert set to make his first start of the season; however Fitzgerald gets a sweet matchup against a Texans defense that is reeling right now. In the last 3 weeks the Texans secondary has given up 121 yards to Tyler Lockett, 105 yards and 2 touchdowns to Paul Richardson, 175 yards and 2 touchdowns to T.Y. Hilton and 171 yards and 2 touchdowns to Robert Woods. Fitz is not an outside the numbers burner like those guys but he is getting all the targets for the Cardinals and is a nice option this week.
- Brandin Cooks vs Raiders
- Tyreek Hill vs Giants
- Amari Cooper vs Patriots
- Doug Baldwin vs Falcons
- Ted Ginn vs Redskins
- Sterling Shepard vs Chiefs
Sit – Jordy Nelson vs Ravens
The Aaron Rodgers injury did a number on all Packers’ offensive players but none more than Jordy Nelson. In the three starts by backup quarterback Brett Hundley, Nelson has a grand total of 8 catches for 68 yards and 0 touchdowns. Plain and simple Nelson is not a good start going forward. I wouldn’t drop him from my team yet as Rodgers is working diligently to get back on the field in Week 15 when he is first eligible for a return, but he needs to be stashed on your bench. Hundley is currently locked into force feeding Davante Adams with targets which leaves Nelson as an afterthought in an inefficient passing game.
Start – Jimmy Graham vs Falcons
The Falcons statistically have played well against opposing tight ends this season but Jimmy Graham has historically killed them throughout his career starting back to when he was a Saint. Graham is a long way from his Saints days but recently he has been hot, scoring at least one touchdown in 4 of his last 5 games. As the weather gets colder and we get closer to the playoffs, Russell Wilson plays like a man possessed. Look for Graham to reap the benefits of Wilson’s next level play and put up solid fantasy points on Monday Night Football this week.
Sit – Ben Watson vs Packers
Ben Watson had his best game of the season the last time the Ravens were on the field in Week 9 catching 7 balls for 41 yards. If you’re in a tight end pinch you might consider Watson but don’t do it. The Packers have been absolutely lock down on opposing tight ends this year allowing the second-fewest receiving yards and fewest fantasy points per game. Also they’re the only team not to allow a touchdown by the tight end position this season. Look elsewhere for a streamer.
Defense to stream
L.A Chargers vs Bills
We all know the Chargers find ways to lose football games but they get a rookie quarterback in Nathan Peterman this week that is starting his first NFL game. The Bills benched Tyrod Taylor for Peterman; look for the dynamic duo of Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa to be licking their chops and playing the “meet me at the quarterback” game.
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