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Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 10

Ryan Mathews - Photo by Bill Kostroun/Associated Press
Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 10
CPGM Juice

Well that sucked. One damn target for Charles Clay?!? Jeez. Back to the “obscure” drawing board.

Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 10

Daily Fantasy League advice.

Quarterbacks

My obscure, deep, unlikely recommendation for starting DFS QB is none other than Matt Cassel ($6,300/$5,000). Have I gone crazy? Perhaps, but Cassel is coming off of a 25 of 38, 299 yards, 3!!! TDs, 1 INT performance against the Philadelphia Eagles. That’s a rather useful performance from a fantasy perspective. The Eagles pass defense certainly isn’t anything to write home about but Cassel’s Week 10 matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is even better. The Bucs allow a 106.0 passer rating (29th), a 70.2 completion percentage (31st), and have given up 19 passing TDs (31st). Tampa Bay’s futility in defending the opposition through the air has led to wholesale changes in their secondary. Veteran Tim Jennings has been released, Jonathan Banks has been demoted and Alterraun Verner has been relegated to nickel corner responsibilities. In other words, the cornerback duo of Sterling Moore and undrafted free agent Jude Adjei-Barimah will be tasked with covering a healthy Dez Bryant (Week 9 – 8/104/1). The Buccaneers will also be without their best pass rusher Jacquies Smith. Mind you this is the same Buccaneers defense that allowed Marcus Mariota, Blake Bortles and Kirk Cousins to completely carve them up. The Cowboys are desperate for a win after dropping six straight, Cassel appears to be more comfortable within the offense, and the matchup is tremendous. He may not wow but I am willing to wager that Cassel provides legitimate value in DFS this week.

Running Backs

With six teams on a bye this week there will be no shortage of heavily owned ball carriers. The likes of Todd Gurley and DeAngelo Williams will likely have a start percentage greater than 50% in most contests. It will be a challenge to “hit” on a player that the masses will “whiff” on but one such player may be Ryan Mathews ($5,600/$3,500) of the Philadelphia Eagles. You saw what the combination of LeSean McCoy and Karlos Williams did to the Miami Dolphins in Week 9 (25/222/3) as both backs exceeded the 100 yard rushing mark and found the end zone. So what’s stopping the Mathews – Demarco Murray duo from punishing “Man Campbell’s” Dolphins? Maybe Mathews paltry workload. The former first round pick has only exceeded 10 rushing attempts in a game twice this season. However, he still leads the Eagles in rushing yards, carries an outstanding 6.1 yards per tout average and is tied with Murray for the team lead in rushing TDs (4) despite 39 fewer attempts than Murray. I said it during the offseason and “The Film Says,” Mathews is a better fit for Chip Kelly’s scheme than Murray and although Murray has shown life recently Mathews will continue to have a role in the Eagles offense. Ryan Mathews isn’t a sure thing but his cost effective upside is palpable and noteworthy in DFS this week.

Wide Receivers

I don’t blame you if you get swept up in Davante Adams hysteria after garnering the start and demonstrating his talent last week against the Panthers. In fact I’m counting on the crowd racing to their laptops, tablets and mobile devices to plug Adams into their respective DFS lineups. I’ll take the recently forgotten James Jones ($5,700/$5,300). His playing time and targets have been inconsistent over the past month but I attribute that to his health (lack thereof) and the Packers lack of balance. However, I don’t foresee any issues for Rodgers in terms of imposing his will on the hapless Detroit Lions, even if the running game fails to produce, which means good news for his receivers. With Ndamukong Suh in South Beach and DeAndre Levy incapacitated the Lions haven’t been able to slow anyone down and Green Bay owns this matchup. Touchdowns as always drive fantasy and no one is more likely to find the end zone than James Jones. Despite his struggles Jones leads Green Bay with 6 TD receptions while the more ballyhooed Adams has zero on the season (Adams missed the month of October). I like Adams’ talent and the absence of Ty Montgomery certainly helps his cause but Adams failed to take advantage of Jordy Nelson’s absence from the lineup because of the rapport Jones and Rodgers have, that rapport hasn’t simply vanished.

NOTE: Check the active/inactive prior to kickoff James Jones recently popped up on the injury report.

Tight Ends

Two touchdown performance against Oakland aside Crockett Gillmore ($5,000/$2,800) has been an afterthought in the Ravens passing game and an afterthought from a fantasy/DFS perspective. However, with “SR.” out for the season with an Achilles injury I expect the Ravens’ starting tight end to be substantially more involved in the offensive game plan. Don’t worry about Maxx Williams he’s shaping up to be a game-time decision and is clearly the #2 TE on the Ravens depth chart. Additionally, I don’t foresee Kamar Aiken and Chris Givens receiving so many targets that Gillmore doesn’t get his fair share. At 6’6″ 270 Gillmore presents quite the matchup problem for the Jacksonville Jaguars middling pass defense in Week 10 and Joe Flacco has demonstrated an affinity for the tight end throughout his career. Despite Gillmore’s lack of involvement in the offense to this point (due in-part to injury) targeting Gillmore has paid dividends as the 2nd year player has 20 receptions and 3 TDs on only 29 targets. If you decide to go dirt cheap at tight end Gillmore is the bargain you’re looking for.

Defenses

It’s a chalk type of week in terms of defense in Week 10 DFS. So, I will give you a defense that I am leery of instead. That would be the New England Patriots defense ($4,900/$3,200). Eli could face plant or lead the charge and give the Pats their first loss of the season, there’s no telling. The Patriots defense has exceeded my expectations thus far but the injury to Jamie Collins (the Pats best defensive player in my opinion) really concerns me. Could be a shootout.

 

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