Everything went right in the Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 8 edition except for Teddy Bridgewater. So with that being said, I am putting a moratorium on Bridgewater in this segment for the remainder of the 2015 season. The young quarterback (young QBs in general) have burned my hands too many times in DFS. Outside of Tyrod Taylor I’m looking at veterans with tons of starting experience. And yes, I’m aware Derek Carr has a “favorable” matchup against the Steelers….more power to you. Let’s dig for DFS gems.
Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 9
Daily Fantasy League advice.
- Speaking of Tyrod Taylor ($7,200/$5,300) I believe he will be under-valued this week in DFS. Why? Simply because we haven’t seen him in a while, out of sight out of mind. Additionally, DFS players may steer clear to avoid a potential rust-related performance. It’s been a while since we’ve seen good Tyrod Taylor too (Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins – 21 of 29, 277 yards, 3 TDs). And as I stated before, it’s been a while since we’ve seen Taylor suit-up because of a sprained MCL (last game played 10/11). However, he will start in the Bills’ Week 9 matchup against, you guessed it… the Miami Dolphins. Now while these are not the hapless Joe Philbin Miami Tunas, but instead “Man Campbell’s” Fighting Fish (I know they’re mammals) I remain steadfast in my belief that Taylor will be a quality QB play in DFS this week. The Bills needed the bye week (week 8) in the worst way, falling to the Jaguars in London behind a poor defensive effort and the greatness that is E.J. Manuel. Taylor should have a full complement of weapons including Sammy Watkins at his disposal and his dual threat ability will stress the Dolphins defense sans Cameron Wake. I recognize that the Bills will likely feature LeSean McCoy but offensive coordinator Greg Roman will play to Taylor’s strengths and likely get him involved in the rushing game when the Bills enter the red-zone increasing Taylor’s potential value. The Dolphins also field a middling pass defense and struggles to sack the quarterback (13 – 23rd in NFL). With improved health from a supporting cast perspective, a healthy knee and a bye week to prepare for a home team that Taylor enjoyed his career best performance against I’m willing to ‘bet’ on Taylor this week.
- I’m with Headley on Jeremy Langford ($6,400/$4,000). What’s the point of using that waiver claim on him if you aren’t going to start him. The difference between Headley and I is that I am much more bullish on Langford’s talent than he is. Of course, a cost effective DFS price tag and a phenomenal matchup against the San Diego Chargers doesn’t hurt but Jeremy Langford comes from a pro-style offense at Michigan State where he rushed for more than 1,400 and 1,500 yards in his junior and senior seasons respectively. He is well-versed in blitz pick up and despite his costly drop last week has good hands out of the backfield. He flashed during the preseason and Langford is auditioning to replace Matt Forte in 2016. His patience, vision and top end speed make fore a fine ball-carrier and with Alshon Jeffrey blowing the top off the coverage Langford should find plenty of success on Monday night. Your fellow DFS players are all too aware of the opportunity that Langford has. However, I’m willing to bet they don’t know how good this kid can be. Start him.
- To be perfectly honest with you I’m really going chalk this week at wide receiver. The one value play that really stands out is Stevie Johnson but the masses will be all over that (you should too by the way). Michael Crabtree is in a number of lineups as well, however, there is one player in particular that could go largely unnoticed that I do like in Week 9 and that is Dwayne Harris ($5,300/$3,800). With Victor Cruz no where to be found, Rueben Randle battling his own injuries and Larry Donnell failing to capitalize on a great opportunity it has been offseason acquisition Dwayne Harris, that has stepped up in the passing game outside of Odell Beckham Jr. After being pigeon-holed in Dallas as a “special teams guy” and good run-blocker Harris has demonstrated that he is a competent receiver with a lot of athletic ability. Coming off of a 7 target, 2 touchdown performance in the track meet at the Super Dome last week Harris finds himself in the thick of the Giants passing offense in a matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs are allowing a league worst 111.5 passer rating against. Eli will have success targeting everyone in the Giants offense which includes the aforementioned Dwayne Harris. What’s even better is that your DFS competitors likely aren’t targeting Harris.
- There are a ton of excellent tight end plays this week despite six teams being on a bye. Some of the trendy budget friendly plays include Heath Miller and a returning Austin Sefarian-Jenkins. Old man Antonio Gates, the resident red-zone machine is also healthy and the Chargers will be without Keenan Allen for the remainder of the season (lacerated kidney) so expect him to be in a ton of lineups. If you played in a contest that includes the Thursday night game and bought Tyler Eifert (why wouldn’t you) good for you. And then of course there are the usual suspects Rob Gronkowski and Greg Olsen. But don’t forget Charles Clay. First, Tyrod Taylor is back which improves Clay’s production outlook. Second, Clay once again gets to play his former team (big fan of revenge contests), you may recall Clay had a pretty good performance against his old team in Week 3 (5/82/1). And third Sammy Watkins is back and his presence alone opens up everything for his teammates. Be a contrarian. Play Charles Clay.
- The Vikings ($4,700/$3,100) defense isn’t sexy and Todd Gurley is a tall task, but at home, against a shaky offensive line and Headley’s favorite quarterback Nick Foles (I jest) I like the Vikings. Many DFS players will avoid Gurley at all costs and I actually think he will still get his but I also believe that Mike Zimmer’s defense will do enough to force Foles and his lackluster receiving corps to beat them if the Rams hope to win.