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DFS Week 13: By the Numbers

DFS Week 13: By the Numbers
@_fantasykings

By: Randall Blakeslee @_fantasykings
DFS Week 13: By the Numbers

Welcome back. A lot has happened over the past 24 hours, much less the past 7 days. Let’s not dwell on it too much. Let’s keep our eyes on the prize: playoffs and then the ship. Here we go.

HITS

Kirk Cousins (30.4 pts): One stat to rule them all: 129.5 passer rating. Even with a hobbling WR corps, Cousins balled out like an $84 million QB is suppose to. He threw for 342 yards and 3 TDs. He’s quietly QB10 on the season. He’s a QB1 with upside for the last four games. Continue to fire him up in your season long leagues if you don’t have Mahomes, Goff, or Luck.

Lamar Jackson (22.2 pts): I’m impressed for the sake of fantasy. Don’t get me wrong, his stats were solid last week, 178 passing yards and a passing TD, 71 rushing yards and a rushing TD. I just don’t have him anointed as a QB1 just yet. Why you ask? His 58.4 passer rating. Once he starts averaging 2-3 TDs and 250 passing yards per game, he’ll be a top 5 option at the position because of his running ability.

D.J. Moore (17.8 pts): Emerging as Cam’s top option, Moore followed up his insane 31.7 FP performance in week 11 with another strong outing against Seattle. He secured 8 of his 9 targets for 91 yards. In PPR leagues that’s a good number for receptions. As such, Draftkings is PPR.

STACK / Kirk Cousin (30.4 pts) and Stefon Diggs (22.9 pts): Boom.  When Cousins is on, both Diggs and Thielen are on. They are fighting for a wild card spot. Hopefully all three remain healthy and continue to make secondaries look silly.

MEH

Cameron Brate (11.6 pts): Long shot two caught 3 of his lonely 4 targets for 26 yards and a TD. He should have had two more TDs, but Winston was throwing like Winston. Brate is a solid TE2 with upside. He’s only limited by Winstons’ inconsistency. With DJAX out this week, Brate is another solid play.

Quincy Enunwa (11.3): Long shot one caught all 4 of his targets for 73 yards. I expected a lot more, but he wasn’t the favorite target. Kearse was the guy and he was targeted 12 times. Just imagine if Enunwa had three times as many targets.

MISSES

Jarvis Landry (6.0 pts): Landry had a season-low 5 targets. 5 targets in a game where Mayfield threw for 4 TDs. Landry is nearing bust status for the season based on the hype up during free agency and the preseason. That’s too bad. He’s truly a top tier wideout coming out of the slot. Maybe necks year. Yes, I know I spelled it ‘necks.’ If you’re a fellow Floridian or not living under a rock, you’ll get it.

STEAL OF THE WEEK

Spencer Ware, RB (KC) $4,000:  This is obvious, but tough to stomach. Let’s not get into thy why. Just know this, Ware is averaging 5.6 YPC this season and 4.9 YPC over 311 total carries. He’s talented and he was the starter last year, until he got hurt. Crazy how we got here. Fire him up in every format. If you were lucky to snatch him up, you pretty much inherited an RB1 in week 12. Unless he bombs in this week’s dream match up, his salary will jump from $4,000 to $6,000 plus. Mark my words.

HONORABLE MENTIONS

Carlos Hyde, RB (JAX) $3,300:  With Fournette letting his emotions get the better of him, Hyde will start during his one-game suspension. Finally, the Bortles experiment is over. Also, Jacksonville’s season is also over. I expect Hyde to lead the committee and get at least 15 touches, which is worth the $3k salary.

Corey Davis, WR (TEN) $5,500: Davis is finally lamenting himself as a legitimate WR1. He averages 19.1 FPPG when playing at home, compared to 10.1 playing away. The Jets allow 245.8 PaYDA/G and rank 16th against the pass, 21st in total defense. He’s only averaged 4 targets over the last 2 games, but he’s seen up to 15 targets. His ROI is well worth his ceiling.

Broncos, DST (DEN) $2,700: The Bengals’ backup QB, Jeff Driskel, has as four-game 92.2 passer rating. Not too shabby. However, Cincinnati has been struggling overall and I expect the Broncos’ defense to wreak havoc on Driskel.

LONG SHOT

Chris Conley, WR (KC) $3,800: Conley excelled in Watkins absence last week. He scored 26.4 FP, going 7-of-8 for 74 yards and 2 TDs. With the Chiefs’ running game taking a bit of a hit, Conley could very well out-score his salary by favorable margins. His ROI is worth the price tag considering his upside.

DFS STACKS

In a previous article I discussed the benefits of stacking a QB and a WR/TE, a popular gaming method in DFS that pays dividends. Here are this week’s recommended stacks:

  • Patrick Mahomes ($7,600) and Travis Kelce ($7,000)
  • Kirk Cousins ($5,500) and Adam Thielen ($8,000)
  • Cam Newton ($6,600) and D.J. Moore ($5,600)

RECOMMENDED DFS ROSTERS

FINAL NOTES

The salaries and PPG are taken from DraftKings. Entering 50/50 contests is the absolute best way to win and double your money. If you decide to go all in and chase the big money, just be sure to enter a few 50/50 DFS contests to ensure you win your money back. Let’s get ready for another exciting week and good luck to you and your lineups.

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