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Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 7

Andy Dalton - Photo by Patrick Semansky/Associated Press
Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 7
CPGM Headley

Trying to decide who to put in your fantasy football lineups? Start your studs!!! Fantasy owners got cute last week benching guys like Odell Beckham and Matt Ryan because of early season struggles or a “bad” matchup but you have to start these guys in your lineup each and every week no matter the circumstance. So don’t go benching DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson or Todd Gurley. Either play them or trade them. Please remember CPGM’s start/sit advice will give you players that you can’t decide on and not the studs you should start.

Fantasy Football Start/Sit – Week 7

Quarterbacks

Start – Andy Dalton vs Browns

You know what’s a good way to bounce back after dropping 2 consecutive games? Play the Browns. Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals gets a well needed “We’re Back” game this week. The Browns rank second to last in passing touchdowns allowed and fantasy points given up to opposing quarterbacks. Look for Dalton to take advantage of a secondary that will be without Joe Haden. I like all the Bengals offensive players this week as Dalton has incorporated Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd in the offense in recent weeks. Dalton also gets back a familiar face in Tyler Eifert who caught 13 touchdowns last season. Dalton has played ok this season having his career best 67.4% completion rate, however he hasn’t been able to accumulate many TDs with only 6 in his 6 games. He should be able to get it done in this juicy matchup with 3 TDs this week.

Start

Kirk Cousins vs Lions
Matthew Stafford vs Redskins
Marcus Mariota vs Colts

Sit – Carson Palmer vs Seahawks

I had huge expectations for Carson Palmer and the Cardinals passing offense this season, however Palmer hasn’t looked like himself and he is playing like the playoffs 2015 Palmer instead of the 2015 regular season Palmer. The offense other than David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald has been inconsistent and it mainly has to do with the ineffectiveness of Palmer and the patented Bruce Arians’ deep passing game. Michael Floyd and to a lesser extent John Brown has not been a factor this season. This is not the type of problems you want to have, especially in an NFC West showdown against a Seattle Seahawks defense that is ranked No. 3 in pass-defense, No. 2 in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, and No. 5 in pass yards allowed per game (209). The Seahawks and the Legion of Boom might be down a Kam Chancellor but I don’t expect them to make the same mistakes two weeks in a row with communication to Richard Sherman. Against the Falcons Sherman on two touchdown passes from Matt Ryan was playing man defense while the rest of the Seahawks were in their cover 3 look. Sherman should be locked in this week and the front seven will focus their attention on shutting down Johnson on the way to pressuring Palmer. Pressure bust pipes for Palmer and I expect him to struggle this week against the vaunted Seattle defense.

Running Backs

Start – Spencer Ware vs Saints

After hearing news of Jamaal Charles’ recent setback in practice this week the obvious choice is no other than Spencer Ware. Charles claimed he was 110% last week but Ware was the guy handling the rock out-carrying Charles 24-9. Ware took his season high 24 carries for 131 yards and a touchdown. After having his best game this season last week against the Raiders he gets an even sweeter matchup playing the Saints defense. The Saints rank 30th in run defense and have given up a robust 4.52 yards per carry and 109.4 rushing yards per game. No team has given up more fantasy points to opposing running backs making Ware the running back lock of the week. Get him in all your lineups and you should be laughing all the way to the bank.

Start

Gio Bernard vs Browns
Jacquizz Rodgers vs 49ers
LeGarrette Blount vs Steelers

Sit – Jay Ajayi vs Bills

Here is another guy I was high on coming out of Boise State in the 2015 NFL draft. Jay Ajayi to me looked to have had 3 down chops with a downhill running style that would play at the next level. After his rookie year battling injuries I still had hope that he would fair well in new head coach Adam Gase’s system. Then the signing of Arian Foster and Ajayi’s reluctance to stake claim to the starting running back position had me questioning his drive, work ethic and his love of football. He just seemed weak to me as he always had minor setbacks causing him not to practice and get on the football field. Then Sunday happened as Ajayi seemed unstoppable against the Steelers defense, cutting through traffic with burst, power and speed that he showcased at the collegiate level. After his 25 carry 204 yard 2 touchdown performance, many fantasy owners desperate for a RB2 will probably put him in their lineup thinking if he produces half of these numbers then they will be set. Not so fast my friends as Ajayi has to prove he is here to stay and not a one week flash in the pan. Gase was true to his word by limiting the RB rotation which bodes well for Ajayi future sustainability; however let us see how he produces this week before inserting him in our lineups.

Wide Receivers

Start – Mike Wallace vs Jets

There are a plethora of wide receivers with outstanding matchups this week but let me get me some Mike Wallace. No Steve Smith Sr. equals all Wallace all the time. QB Joe Flacco will be looking Wallace’s way early and often as 12 targets is a strong possibility. Wallace is a big play receiver who can go for 100 yards on half of those targets, so what do you expect for him when he gets double digit targets against a Jets pass defense that gives up big plays on a regular occurrence? I’m looking for a big game for Wallace this week as he can push 150 yards against the Jets defense who ranks in the bottom 5 in completion percentage allowed (71.2%), yards allowed per attempt (8.8), QB rate (114.7), total passing yards (1740) and passing TDs allowed (13).

Start

Jeremy Maclin vs Saints
Michael Crabtree vs Jaguars
Tyrell Williams vs Falcons
Pierre Garcon vs Lions

Sit – Phillip Dorsett vs Titans

I was very vocal about the Colts selection of Phillip Dorsett in the first round of the 2015 NFL draft as he was not the right selection in my opinion for a team that needed to get tougher in the trenches. It was a luxury pick that in hindsight could be the biggest lay down and the beginning to the end of the Chuck Pagano/Ryan Grigson era in Indianapolis. That might be an unfair criticism to Dorsett but this was the first time I questioned the Colts brain trust on how they were building their team around Andrew Luck. With T.Y. Hilton on your roster and an emerging talent in Donte Moncrief you selected the year before, I didn’t see how Dorsett would help them win games when protecting Luck from opposing defense should have been priority number 1. A season and a half later Dorsett was in a prime position to prove all his doubters wrong after the Colts chose not to re-sign Andre Johnson, Coby Fleener in New Orleans and Moncrief going down with an injury. In his four games since Moncrief’s injury, Dorsett has totaled 8 catches running as the clear WR2 in the Colts pass happy offense and is now dealing with an injury of his own. Keep him on your bench as he hasn’t taken advantage of his opportunities thus far.

Tight Ends

Start – Travis Kelce vs Saints

The Saints rush defense isn’t the only thing that struggles in New Orleans, their passing defense is pretty bad also. Nice matchup for TE Travis Kelce who hasn’t broken out yet and put up the TE1 numbers you were expecting when you drafted him. It will happen this week as the Chiefs will score points and Alex Smith will throw touchdowns. Kelce has had opportunities, targeted at least 7 times in the Chiefs first 4 games and receiving 8 red zone targets but he hasn’t capitalize off his target share thus far with only 252 yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Baby Gronk will get it going this week. I’m looking for his first 100 yard performance with at least 1 touchdown.

Start

Hunter Henry vs Falcons
Jack Doyle vs Titans
Charles Clay vs Dolphins

Sit – Zach Ertz vs Vikings

Another player that I am still waiting for to breakout and put together a solid 16 game season is Zach Ertz. After balling out in the last 4 regular season games in 2015 amassing 450 yards on 35 receptions, many believed the 2016 season would be Ertz’s breakout campaign. A rib injury in Week 1 of the season derailed that thought and in his third game back from injury after putting up back to back duds in Weeks 5 and 6, the fantasy community still believe Ertz’s talent and potential is still a TE1 play. The Eagles played well offensively with Ertz sidelined by spreading the ball out to multiple weapons and I strongly believe they will continue to do so which makes all Eagles offensive players a fantasy risk. Ertz may begin to start picking it up by playing more snaps but he can’t be trusted, even in a tight end position that is shallow. Oh yea and he is playing against the best defense in the NFL the Minnesota Vikings.

Defense to stream

Cincinnati Bengals vs Browns

It’s the Browns. Enough said.

 

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