AFC South

2015 AFC South Predictions

AFC South Division Winner… Indianapolis Colts.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Allen Hurns leads the Jaguars in receiving yards and touchdowns.

My thinking… Hurns did it last season as an undrafted rookie; Blake Bortles trusts him; he’s an un-questioned starter now that Cecil Shorts is in Houston; Julius Thomas is hurt; Hurns should see an uptick in targets; the Jaguars will trail often; Hurns won’t face double teams; and he is the Jaguars’ vertical threat.

Telvin Smith becomes the next great and unheralded weak side linebacker in the NFL.

My thinking… 102 tackles in only 9 starts in his rookie season; the Jaguars will be on the field a lot; Smith can play on all three downs (4.5 speed, competent in coverage, excellent against the run, sideline-to-sideline motor); the leader of a Championship defense in college; and the Jaguars won’t get much National exposure, think Thomas Davis of the Carolina Panthers when it’s all said and done.

Blake Bortles averages more than one interception a game.

My thinking… Bortles threw 17 interceptions in 14 games (13 starts); still question marks along the offensive line; Jaguars putting a lot of faith in T.J. Yeldon (not a fan); the Jaguars will be playing from behind a lot; Julius Thomas is hurt and Bortles didn’t demonstrate any improvement last season. I do think the Jaguars will be more competitive in 2014 but due to the sum of the parts, not because Bortles takes a substantial step forward.

Tennessee Titans

Kendall Wright leads the AFC South in receptions.

My thinking… so many mouths to feed in Indianapolis; Brian Hoyer is the starting QB in Houston (sorry “Nuk“); the Jaguars’ passing offense will be among the worst in the NFL; Wright is healthy; Wright has developed an obvious rapport with Marcus Mariota; if something were to happen to Mariota, Zach Mettenberger can spin it; Wright had 94 receptions as recently as 2013.

Houston Texans

Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallet start eight games each.

My thinking… Hoyer is better suited as a backup and Mallet can’t get out of his own way; Arian Foster is hurt; Arian Foster could aggravate a past injury at any time  and re-injure himself when healthy; the Texans have to score points to beat the Colts; and neither quarterback demonstrates any consistency.

Jadeveon Clowney has double digit sacks.

My thinking… Clowney is a phenomenal athlete and talent; he’s the healthiest he’s been in a calendar year; he won’t be double teamed; he’s smart enough to understand that he has to put the work in; Clowney appears to be taking to coaching; and J.J. Watt is a monster.

Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Luck throws 57 touchdowns breaking Peyton Manning’s single season record of 55.

My thinking… Luck threw 40 TDs in 2014; Luck threw 17 more TDs in 2014 than he did in 2012 (23) and 2013 (23); 40+17 = 57; Luck has the best compliment of weapons he’s had in his four-year career; Luck plays in the AFC South (in 6 games versus the AFC South in 2014 16 TDs/3 INTs); Luck is setting himself up for the richest contract in NFL History; and Luck is on the CPGM Fantasy team in the Fantasy Football league (6 pts. per TD).









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