Daily Fantasy League Breakdown - Week 4 - Couch Potato General Manager

No Preamble. Let’s get right to it.

Daily Fantasy League Breakdown – Week 4

Daily Fantasy League advice.

Quarterbacks

Killa! The Bucs lost to the Panthers twice last season despite Cam Newton ($8,300/$7,000) not playing. Well, Cam is healthy this time around and the Bucs still aren’t any good.
Matty Ice ($8,400/$6,900) is as consistent as they come but at these prices you might as well draft Aaron Rodgers ($9,200/$7,900).
Andrew Luck ($9,100/$7,800) is stinking it up and his body is ailing him. He might not play this week. He plays the Jaguars twice, I will start him the NEXT time around.
I set aside my prejudice and started Andy Dalton ($7,600/$5,900) in a couple DFS contests last week and I was rewarded. If the Chiefs can’t get home with pressure their secondary hasn’t been able to hold up. With a healthy complement of weapons and a friendly price tag. I’m going to re-up on the “Red Rifle.”
Tyrod Taylor ($7,600/$5,800) has put money in many a pocket via DFS. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie’s health is a considerable factor.
I’m heavily invested in Derek Carr ($7,000/$5,300) this week.
Odd, both the Eagles and Redskins boast “offensive” minded head coaches yet I don’t trust either teams’ quarterback play. Curious…
Rain is in the forecast but I expect Phillip Rivers ($7,400/$6,100) to be just fine.
Aaron Rodgers is…… ‘enter’ superlative HERE.
Drew Brees ($8,400/$7,400) is a bit of an enigma. I could see him lighting it up and he’s just as likely to poop the bed. He’s been a lot like Andrew Luck this season.
Russell Wilson ($8,200/$7,100). See Matt Ryan

Running Backs

If Jonathan Stewart ($6,300/$4,700) wasn’t nicked up I would be all over this matchup. Alfred Blue went for (31/139/1). Stewart is still a solid play but there are much better options this week.
Can Devonta Freeman ($7,200/$5,200) do it again? Me thinks not. But his workload will be similar to that of Week 3. That’s of value in fantasy.
To the naked eye Alfred Blue may appear to be a bargain but I disagree. There are rumblings that Arian Foster might have a role in Week 4 ultimately cutting into Blue’s workload. And despite what the Texans’ coaching staff says they are a pass happy football team, averaging just under 49 attempts a game in Ryan Mallet’s two starts. The Bucs couldn’t sustain drives hence Blue’s expanded role in Week 3. If nothing else, the Falcons can move the football.
I can no longer support “Chuck Strong” as head coach if Frank Gore ($7,300/$4,700) doesn’t have 20+ carries this week, especially after New England managed 4 rushing TDs against JAX in Week 3.
Jamaal Charles ($8,700/$7,600) is one of the few backs that maintains his HIGH value regardless of how scant his workload might be.
I have a distinct feeling that Karlos Williams ($6,300/$3,400) will be in the majority of DFS lineups considering that Shady is expected to miss Week 4 and Williams’ impressive production to date. He has scored a TD in each week thus far.
I really like Latavius Murray’s ($7,500/$6,300) upside and I think his floor is as high as Matt Forte’s ($8,300 this week./$7,100).
Not sure what to make of the Eagles’ backfield so I’m avoiding it.
Redskins’ backfield. (See Eagles’ backfield)
The Chargers are down 3 starting offensive linemen, but I’m running with Melvin Gordon ($6,800/$4,900) against the Browns’ run defense anyway.
Carlos Hyde ($7,400/$5,100) is brimming with talent and I think he could have a big game, I just don’t think the 49ers are going to keep it close enough for him to make an impact.
You saw what CJ2K did to the 49ers. Eddie Lacy ($7,800/$6,900) is actually a value play at this price.
The Broncos have an excellent defense. But the Vikings have an Adrian Peterson ($9,000/$7,800).
Call Chris Johnson ($6,700/$4,500) “The Phoenix.” And of course David Johnson ($5,500/$4,200) will get all the love this week.
Can Joseph Randle ($7,400/$5,500) do it again? Yes, if Dallas runs the football for more than 1 half.
Mark Ingram ($8,100/$6,000) has been very effective in terms of total yards and the matchup looks good on paper but Sean Payton likes to play 7 running backs a game and the Saints aren’t a zone-blocking team in the “Shanahan” sense.
If Beast Mode ($8,600/$7,200) can’t go, Thomas Rawls ($6,000/$3,000) offers some inexpensive upside, but don’t expect a repeat performance from Week 3.

Wide Receivers

I’m avoiding Mike Evans ($7,500/$6,400) and his matchup with Josh Norman. His numbers will look good but too steep for “Garbage Time Love.”
Lower ceiling on Vincent Jackson ($6,800/$4,900) compared to Mike Evans but in terms of garbage time, much more reasonably priced.
BIG gamble on Ted Ginn Jr. ($5,500/$3,400) but no one in the Bucs’ awful secondary can run with him and he’s Newton’s top target among the wide receivers.
Unless Matt Ryan gets hurt, Julio Jones’ price tag is no longer on the menu. Yep, he’s that good and EXPENSIVE.
Nuk! ($7,900/$7,300)
Temper your expectations regarding T.Y. Hilton ($7,600/$6,700) and Donte Moncrief ($6,300/$5,00).
Your expectations might not be high enough for A.J. Green ($8,400/$7,600) and Marvin Jones ($5,500/$3,800).
Jeremy Maclin ($6,500/$4,800) may actually present more than garbage time value this week.
Odell Beckham Jr. ($9,100/$9,100) is virtually matchup proof that’s why he’s so expensive.
Encouraged by Rueben Randle’s ($5,700/$4,600) performance last Thursday but I would opt for someone like Marvin Jones in his stead.
“Make em say uhh” oops wrong Percy. Harvin ($5,700/$4,600) and Tyrod Taylor have chemistry. Side note: Silkk the Shocker was terrible…
Amari Cooper ($7,200/6,300). See Derek Carr.
Last time I remember seeing Michael Crabtree ($5,800/$4,600), Richard Sherman was ‘punking’ him on National TV. But he has new life in the “Black Hole.”
Great matchup for Pierre Garcon ($6,100/$5,300) but I have absolutely no confidence in Kirk Cousins’ ability to get him the football.
Even better matchup for Jordan Matthews ($7,000/$6,600), not much confidence in Sam Bradford either but the scheme should get Matthews involved.
Keenan Allen ($7,700/$7,000) is 4th in NFL in receptions (29) and 5th in targets (39) and while I can forgive Joe Haden for getting beat by Antonio Brown, I cannot look the other way if everyone is getting the best of him, which has been the case this season.
You should never expect huge catch totals from Travis Benjamin ($6,000/$4,500) but he has scored a TD in every game this season.
It won’t be quite the same for Randall Cobb ($8,200/$7,400) and James Jones ($6,000/$5,300) as it would be if they were playing at Lambeau but who cares.
Interested in the Demariyus Thomas ($8,500/$8,100) and Xavier Rhodes matchup.
Emmanuel Sanders (7,900/$7,700) is going to eat.
Only one wide receiver performing than Larry Fitzgerald ($7,400/$6,500) that’s Julio Jones.
If Brees plays, I expect Brandin Cooks ($7,100/$6,000) to breakout. Or rather, I hope he breaks out, he’s killing me in my traditional fantasy leagues.
As long as Joe Lombardi is the play-caller I am steering away from Megatron ($8,100/$7,500). Allow him to be elite.

Tight Ends

Take that Week 1 clunker out of your mind. Greg Olsen ($6,300/$5,400) is THE guy in Gronk’s absence this week.
The Coby Fleener ($4,900/$3,200) play didn’t quite work out the way I had hoped. Despite the fact that Gronk and Delanie Walker are on byes there are quite a few tight ends I like more than Fleener. However, IF, Matt Hasselbeck starts the Colts will be more conservative which means increased targets for Fleener.
Travis Kelce ($6,400/$5,300) and Tyler Eifert ($5,700/$4,600) present good options at the tight end position, but I’m not starting either in DFS.
You saw what Jordan Reed did to the Giants on TNF. That’ why I like Charles Clay ($5,200/$3,300).
Josh McCown to Gary Barnidge torched the Raiders, as did, Dalton to Eifert, and Flacco to Gillmore. Doesn’t matter that it is Jimmy Clausen, play Marty B.
Kirk Cousins can and will get the ball to Jordan Reed ($5,600/$4,500). A lot! (19 receptions on 26 targets to date)
Jason Witten ($6,000/$4,400) isn’t as dynamic as Greg Olsen but he could be just as effective in his matchup with the Saints.
I expect Jimmy Graham ($6,600/$6,000) to have his BEST game as a Seahawk to date, but I still like Greg Olsen more.

Defenses

I like the Panthers Defense ($4,800/$3,300), not love. A strong like.
Colts Defense ($4,400/42,800). See Panthers Defense.
Reports suggest that the Bills Defense ($4,800/$3,000) is going to blitz more. I think they get to Eli.
The Eagles Defense ($4,500/$2,700) is a good play because they excel on special teams and Kirk Cousins is turnover prone.
Chargers Defense ($4,400/$2,800) only because they are at home vs. Cleveland.
Packers Defense ($4,700/$2,700). Did you see Colin Kaepernick last week!?!
The Vikings are one dimensional and playing on the road gotta like the Broncos Defense ($4,700/$3,300).
Love the Cardinals Defense ($5,000/$3,400). The Rams are offensively challenged.
Seahawks Defense ($5,300/$3,700) playing a pass happy Lions offense that can’t pass protect. I’ll take that!