One week in the books hopefully you got a “W” in Week 1. If not, no need to panic assuming you referenced CPGM Headley’s Priority Waiver Wire post. Before we get into my Week 2 Start/Sit fantasy football lineup recommendations let’s review how I did in Week 1, transperancy.
What I got RIGHT in Week 1 Start/Sit
- Ben Roethlisberger PIT – As I mentioned in last week’s post, he had some rust to knock off but three touchdown passes and no turnovers was good for a Top 12 fininsh to start the season (22.06 pts.)
- Josh Allen BUF – Aside from one egregious overthrow that should have gone for a TD Allen handled business both on the ground and through the air finishing as QB3 overall in Week 1 (28.18 pts.)
- Derek Carr LVR – Oakland dropped 34 points and Carr was QB25 (13.56 pts.)
- Cam Akers LAR – The role/volume was encouraging. But thoroughly outplayed by Malcolm Brown (5.3 pts.)
- Marquise “Hollywood” Brown BAL – A cool 5/101 I’ll take it (15.1 pts.)
- Courtland Sutton DEN & WR Kenny Golladay DET – Neither played so I’m only counting it as a “one” win
- Jarvis Landry CLE – There will be valleys throughout the 2020 season (11.1 pts.)
- Noah Fant DEN – Fant looked like a different player… Scary. TE3 overall in Week 1 (19.1 pts.)
- Dallas Goedert PHI – Nailed it. TE1! (24.1 pts.)
- Chris Herndon NYJ – Don’t be discouraged. I’m not. Herndon is going to reward fantasy owners this year… this just wasn’t one of those weeks. (7.7 pts.)
- Austin Hooper CLE – It was not a good debut and Week 2 wasn’t much better. His value an an in-line blocker doesn’t help your fantasy teams (3.5 pts.)
What I got Wrong in Week 1 Start/Sit
- Jared Goff LAR – Goff actually played really well in reality but it did not translate into a good fantasy outing. Zero TDs and an INT that should not have been. I didn’t anticipate McVay’s uber-conservative approach and it cost you and me (11.5 pts.)
- Cam Newton NE – Newton only had 19 pass attempts and 155 passing yards but his Week 1 performance was buoyed by two rushing TDs good for a Top 6 performance among QBs. I resolved to bench Cam and wait and see. Now I have my answers. Cam is healthy but the Patriots’ receiving core leaves something to be desired (25.70 pts.)
- Kirk Cousins MIN – Hmph! I may have been wrong but I stand by my decision to bench Cousins. I’d do it again (22.76 pts.)
- Marlon Mack IND – I can’t predict injuries (8.6 pts.)
- Tarik Cohen CHI – Game-script was ripe too! But only targeted twice… My bad (6.7 pts.)
- Melvin Gordon DEN – I mean… you drafted him to be an RB2 and he was an RB2 in Week 1 so I’ll hold that L. Though the Phillip Lindsay injury prompted an unexpected up-tick in usage (15.6 pts)
- Marvin Jones DET – The Lions bruh… (9.5 pts)
- Emmanuel Sanders NO – Drew multiple pass interferece calls on the defense and had a TD grab. Yep, just like I said Manny in reality > fantasy. Should have listened to my own advice (10.5 pts.)
“Alright on to Cincinnati.” Let’s get to some Start/Sit decisions for the Week 2, Sunday/Monday slate.
Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations
START Ben Roethlisberger vs. Denver Broncos
I’m going back to the well once again. The Broncos made it hard for Derrick Henry in Week 1; limiting the towering running back to less than four yards per carry. However, Ryan Tannehill completed 67% of his 43 pass attempts against the Broncos on Monday night and had a pair of TDs. Now a “tuned up” Roethlisberger faces those same Broncos who will be without their top cornerback A.J. Bouye on top of Von Miller. Get him in your lineups.
SIT Teddy Bridgewater @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Don’t let the Bucs’ 34-23 loss to the Saints last week fool you. Tampa Bay’s offense let the defense down. While the Buccaneers’ improved defense did surrender a pair of touchdown passes in that contest they held Drew Brees to just 160 yards passing. Furthermore, Michael Thomas managed a paltry three receptions for 17 yards. I think it’s going to be tough sledding for the entire Panthers passing attack. In all likelihood you have a better option at QB this week but the leagues worst fantasy football pass defense from a season ago has vastly improved in Year 2 under defensive coordinator Todd Bowles. Sit em’.
Running Back Start/Sit Recommendations
START Ronald Jones vs. Carolina Panthers
After facing a stingy New Orleans Saints run defense in Week 1, the Panthers should provide a panacea to the Buccaneers run game woes. Carolina ceded three rushing TDs and and healthy average of 4.3 yards a carry to the Las Vegas Raiders. Josh Jacobs forced double-digit missed tackles and Luke Kuechly isn’t walking through that door. I expect the Panthers run defense to improve incrementally throughout the season; but I believe both Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette should be considered RB2/Flex options respectively this week with Jones having RB1 upside. Start em’.
START Antonio Gibson @ Arizona Cardinals
I realize that Antonio Gibson is a raw running back prospect. However, the battery of Peyton Barber (2.7 ypc) and J.D. McKissic should not relegate Gibson, an athletic marvel and obviously the most talented player among the trio to a 27% snap share. Allow me to put things into perpsective. Gibson had a total of 11 opportunities (rush attempts + targets) and accounted for 44 scrimmage yards. Meanwhile, Barber and McKissic combined for 25 opportunites and mustered up a whopping 28 yards from scrimmage. I think Ron Rivera and his staff adjust quickly and lean more heavily on Gibson as early as Week 2, the tape doesn’t lie.
SIT Melvin Gordon @ Pittsburguh Steelers
I’m doubling down on my Week 1 whiff when I recommended that you sit Melvin Gordon against the Tennesee Titans. It may not seem like, it but I have always thought Gordon received a little too much criticism at times. It’s nothing personal and I think he has plenty good football in him. But after the Pittsburgh Steelers dominated the New York Giants up front and held Saquon Barkley to just six rushing yards on 15 attempts, I anticipate Gordon will struggle to find much running room when the Broncos face the Steelers this weekend.
SIT Frank Gore vs San Francisco 49ers
I love Frank Gore. He may be the “9th Wonder of the World” but you can’t possibly be so hard pressed that you are considering starting Gore in this matchup are you? The New York Jets offense is an abomination, including their run game. Don’t make your Start/sit decisoins more difficult than they should be.
Wide Receiver Start/Sit Recommendations
START Anthony Miller vs. New York Giants
Mitch Trubisky simply does not see the field well and as a result he lowers the weekly fantasy floor for both Anthony Miller and Allen Robinson. However, I’m encouraged by several things: (1) Anthony Miller is healthy (and a baller), (2) the Giants pass defense is a work in progress and (3) Matt Nagy is allowing Miller to be great by coaching up Trubisky in-game. You’ll notice on this first play Trubisky doesn’t look towards a wide-open Anthony Miller who should have been his primary read.
Oh don’t do him like that, @AnthonyMiller_3.
— Erik Lambert (@ErikLambert1) September 19, 2020
Peyton Manning was absolutely correct and Matt Nagy did some coaching. Trubisky found Miller for a TD on the very same slot fade later in the game.
.@AnthonyMiller_3 FOR DA LEAD!!!
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) September 13, 2020
Anthony Miller has the ability to explode in any given week for your fantasy team and the Bears comeback win in Week 1 should serve to boost Trubisky’s confidence as evidenced by that 2nd throw. With a slew of star receivers out with injury heading into the Sunday slate, Miller is defintely a wideout I’d consider getting into your lineups. Start em’.
START Diontae Johnson vs. Denver Broncos
It’s important to note that Diontae Johnson and Ben Roethlisberger have precious little experience playing with one another. In the Steelers Week 1 matchup with the New York Giants it was Juju Smith-Schuster finding the endzone twice in Ben Roethlisberger’s return under-center. However, it was Diontae Johnson that led the Steelers in targets (10) and had a massive target share 32%. As I mentioned before the Broncos are ailling on defense and it’s only a matter of time until Johnson and Roethlisberger get in sync. I’d wager they connect for a score or two in Week 2.
START Parris Campbell vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings young defensive backs looked completely overmatched against the Green Bay Packers, allowing three different receivers to score opening week. Enter Parris Campbell who led the Colts in targets (9) in Week 1 and operates in the short to intermediate areas of the field where Philip Rivers attacks relentlessly. The Colts are down a few receiving options as tight end Jack Doyle and rookie wideout Michael Pittman Jr. have been ruled out with injuries. Again, with so many upper-echelon receiving options out with injury Campbell is an excellent option.
SIT Brandin Cooks vs. Baltimore Ravens
This may not be a week where one can afford to sit Brandin Cooks; but there are much less heralded wideouts I’d plug into my lineup. The Texans face a swarming Ravens defense and cannot protect Deshaun Watson. Cooks’ catch radius is limited and he and Watson lack chemistry. I suggest staying away.
SIT Henry Ruggs vs. New Orleans Saints
Again, you may not have the luxury of sitting Ruggs considering that so many wideouts are on the mend but Ruggs too is nursing an injury and is questionable for Monday night. Furthermore, the Raiders young wideouts still have to prove that they can maintain a firm fantasy floor before they can be depended upon in your fantasy lineups.
Tight End Start/Sit Recommendations
START Logan Thomas @ Arizona Cardinals
Washington is a team in transition and there are very few proven commodities within that offense. Logan Thomas, a former quarterback, seems to have successfully transitioned to being an NFL caliber move tight end and flashed his skills in a Week 1 win against the Eagles. His 4/37/1 line wasn’t overwhelming but certainly encouraging. The Cardinals were abysmal defending the tight end position last season and Thomas with a growing role in the offense could be set to explode for your fantasy team.
START Jordan Reed @ New York Jets
No George Kittle, injuries, and inexpereince at the wide receiver position. Enter Jordan Reed for a spot start at tight end in Kyle Shanahan’s offense, that, you guessed it… features the tight end. Reed when healthy is an absolute mismatch… entirely to quick and athletic for most linebackers and too big and strong for most defensive backs. As I stated before, the Jets (organization) is a mess. Take advantage.
SIT Mike Gesicki vs. Buffalo Bills
The schedule has not been kind to Mike Gesicki in the first couple for weeks of the 2020 NFL season. Buffalo’s safeties do a great job of neurtalizing the tight end position and if warratned cornerback Tre’Davious White will shadow and lockdown the opposing tight end. Now may be a good opportunity to buy low on Gesicki because there will be much better matchups throughout the balance of the season.
Best of luck this weekend. Remember always start your STUDS and I take ZERO responsibility if these recommendations are wrong. Also, if my calls are right make certain you tell a friend. Start/Sit.
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