Week 7 is here and Aaron Rodgers wont’t be able to save you after breaking his collarbone. For non-Aaron Rodgers owners you’ve probably felt the pain of losing a superstar as a new one goes down every week. Time to move on and get ready for the stretch run of your fantasy football regular season with the players you have on your roster. Make the right lineup decisions with a little help from CPGM.
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Week 7
Start – Matt Ryan vs Patriots
I’m doubling down on Matt Ryan this week after a subpar performance against the Miami Dolphins throwing for 248 yards 1 touchdown and 1 interception in what figured to be a get right game after the Falcons bye week. His 1 touchdown last week brings him to a grand total of 6 in his first 5 games of 2017. That’s a far cry from his 38 touchdown passes last year as the Falcons offense has regressed tremendously under first year offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian. If Ryan can’t get it together in Week 7 against the lowly Patriots defense, then it will be hard to trust last year’s MVP going forward on your fantasy teams. The Patriots allow a league worst 324.8 passing yards per game, the most passing touchdowns (14) and the highest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Let’s get it together Ryan. The Falcons should look to get Julio Jones more involved in the passing offense after he was absurdly targeted less than both Austin Hooper and Taylor Gabriel last week. Also Ryan needs to get the ball in the hands of his talented playmakers out of the backfield; Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman are mismatches in the open field. Now if only the Falcons will listen to me so they can help Ryan’s fantasy owners in this juicy matchup.
- Dak Prescott vs 49ers
- Carson Wentz vs Redskins
- Kirk Cousins vs Eagles
Sit – Philip Rivers vs Broncos
The Denver Broncos defense will be licking their chops after being embarrassed last week against the New York Giants on National TV. An offense without their Top 4 receivers which has been ineffective running the football all season long, ran the football down their throats. Look for them to bounce back against a familiar foe this week which means bad news for Philip Rivers and company. Rivers has consistently struggled in recent history against the swarming Broncos defense sans his 3 touchdown performance against the Broncos in Week 1. That performance is a bit deceiving though as he only passed for 192 yards. I’m betting things to get back to normal this week for the Broncos defense and Rivers to continue his struggles against them. Sit Rivers and go with another option.
Start – C.J. Anderson vs Chargers
Speaking of the Broncos disappointing loss to the Giants last week, C.J. Anderson put up a dud due to the game script working against him. Anderson only received 9 carries as the Broncos went to Trevor Siemian and the passing offense to get them back in the ball game. This marks less than 10 carries in two of the last three games for Anderson, both Broncos losses. As we spoke about on the CPGM podcast (which you can find on iTunes and SoundCloud) teams win football games when they have balance in their offense and run the football. In the Broncos other 3 games, Anderson has at least 20 carries which resulted in 3 wins. I’m no rocket scientist but the Broncos might need to get Anderson 20 carries this week against a Chargers defense that is dead last in rushing yards given up this season. The Chargers have been awful against the run allowing a whopping 152.5 yards per contest at a 5 yard clip per attempt. The NFL and fantasy football is all about matchups and this is a matchup to exploit.
- Alvin Kamara vs Packers
- Mark Ingram vs Packers
- Adrian Peterson vs Rams
- Tevin Coleman vs Patriots
- James White vs Falcons
- Chris Thompson vs Eagles
Rob Kelley/Samaje Perine vs Eagles
Both these backs deserve to be on the bench this week for your fantasy teams. If Kelley gets cleared by the medical staff to lace them up this week it won’t be a good matchup for him or Samaje Perine as the Eagles defensive line is straight balling right now. The return of their anchor on the line Fletcher Cox last week was just what the doctor ordered as they shut down the Panthers offense by being physical up front and beating their offensive line to a pulp. Cox, Timmy Jernigan, Vinny Curry, Brandon Graham, Chris Long and Derek Barnett is changing football games as teams flat out give up on running the football and become one dimensional. The NFL’s best run defense will be at it again this week just like in their week 1 matchup against the Redskins where they allowed a mere 34 yards to running backs on 2.6 yards per carry. This will be a Kirk Cousins passing game which favors Chris Thompson out of the backfield, sit Kelley and Perine.
Start – Brandin Cooks vs Falcons
The Super Bowl rematch should have a lot of points scored on Sunday Night with Vegas setting the over/under at 55 and a half points. Tom Brady and Matt Ryan will try an out-duel each other which bodes well for all the pass catchers in this game. Brandin Cooks the ex-Saint is a familiar foe for the Falcons that will be heavily involved from start to finish. Cooks has at least 80 yards in the 4 of the 6 games this season and should easily compile this feat versus a Falcons defense that is not getting to the quarterback due in large part to the health of Vic Beasley. I don’t foresee many deep shots to Cooks down the sidelines but I do see him catching a handful of passes and being dynamic after the catch. Julian Edelman is out for the season and Chris Hogan is not at 100%, therefore Cooks should fill the void for Brady in a game where there will be points scored at a rapid rate. Start all your Patriots offensive weapons.
- Chris Hogan vs Falcons
- Dez Bryant vs 49ers
- Alshon Jeffery vs Redskins
- Terrelle Pryor vs Eagles
- Rishard Matthews vs Browns
T.Y. Hilton vs Jaguars
Yes I know T.Y. Hilton is my guy and yes he is on my fantasy team but those corners in Jacksonville are not to be played with. A.J. Bouye and Jalen Ramsey are playing at a high level as the Jacksonville Jaguars rank number 1 in pass-defense DVOA, number 2 in fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver position and has given up a minuscule 166 yards in the air per game. Hilton meanwhile has been boom or bust, if you remove his two big games against the Browns and 49ers he is averaging under 3 catches per game for 38 yards and 0 touchdowns. The loss of Andrew Luck makes Hilton a risky play each week and the matchup here is one you should avoid. Jacoby Brissett will be under constant pressure all game long as the Jaguars lead the league in sacks, which would imply a game script where he tries to get the ball out of his hands quickly to Jack Doyle and the intermediate weapons. Sit T.Y.
Start – Delanie Walker vs Browns
Last week in prime time we saw a different Marcus Mariota sitting in the pocket delivering passes against the Indianapolis Colts. It was still a bunch of run-pass options and half field reads but his injured hamstring relegated him to stay in the pocket and make plays from the pocket. If he chooses to play a similar game this week it can bode well for Delaine Walker who didn’t capitalize much last week but gets a sweet matchup against the Browns that have been horrific against the tight end position. Walker has been a bit of a disappointment this season with 0 touchdown catches and no 60 yard receiving games since Week 2, however the matchup is a get right situation where he can cash in as the Browns have given up the most passing touchdowns in the league and catches to tight ends.
- Hunter Henry vs Broncos
- Austin Hooper vs Patriots
- Austin Seferian-Jenkins vs Dolphins
- George Kittle vs Cowboys
Ben Watson vs Vikings
If you are a Ben Watson owner and trying to chase his 8 catch 91 yard performance against the Browns, JUST STOP! Watson ain’t it and took advantage of a porous Browns pass defense. Drop him immediately even with a shallow tight end position.
Defense to stream
New York Giants vs Seahawks
After struggling in the first 5 games of the season, the Giants defensive playmakers realized they can play football. Jason Pierre-Paul wrecked the game with 3 sacks while Landon Collins and Janoris Jenkins both had interceptions with Jenkins going to the house for 6 last week against the Broncos. Look for the Giants to take that momentum into this week against the Seahawks. The Giants will try once again to rely heavily on their rushing attack while playing stout defense against Russell Wilson and company. The Seahawks have major issues throughout their offensive line and haven’t been able to run the football since losing Chris Carson to season ending injury. The G-Men will play an attacking style of football and force the Seahawks to be one dimensional.
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