Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.
Isn’t it crazy to think that we are already over the quarter mark of the NFL season?
There is still lots of good football left, and, even at 1-4, you can still salvage your season. Let’s take a look at some of the errors we all made this off-season, and start making changes for the better on your fantasy rosters.
With a 5 week sample size, we can more accurately assess what a players situation is. For example, Chris Godwin is a WR1. Kirk Cousins is clearly not a QB1. The Justice Hill breakout is not going to happen this season. OJ Howard is well, on an island currently with the Tampa Bay coaches. The Darren Waller hype wasn’t just Hard Knocks attempting to get ratings.
There will be more story lines that emerge by the end of the season, and a few more surprise breakouts. With what we’ve learnt so far this season, we’ll take a look at players that are still available and can be used to bolster your lineup this week and for the rest of the year. Saying “good-bye” sometimes is what feels the best. Being able to say “good-buy” at the end of the fantasy season is even better.
Buy – Gardner Minshew, 23% Owned, Jacksonville Jaguars
Minshew Mania refuses to go away. Instead of spurning the mustached maniac in Duval away, why don’t we embrace it as fantasy owners?
All Gardner has done since taking over the reigns from Nick Foles is put up usable fantasy weeks through 4 weeks. Let’s take a look at those numbers now:
vs Kansas City (coming in for an injured Nick Foles) : 18.69 FP
vs Houston: 16.12 FP
vs Tennesse: 17.96 FP
vs Denver: 16.72 FP
vs Carolina: 21.16
These aren’t world beating numbers. But, they are reliable and only three other QBs have put up at least 16+ fantasy points each game this season. This QB floor can give your fantasy team the stability you need as you try and stabilize from early season QB flops like Kirk Cousins and Baker Mayfield.
Now, let’s look forward to the Jaguars schedule: New Orleans, Cincinnati, New York Jets and Houston all before the Jaguars bye week.
This is an incredible slate, and I’m willing to ride the Minshew/Chark wave until the Jaguars bye week in Week 10. Even after that, the Jaguars schedule is cherry: Indianapolis, Tennessee, Tampa Bay, Los Angeles Chargers, Oakland and Atlanta.
It doesn’t get better than that folks. I’m buying the Bandanna Bandit while I still can.
Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Kirk Cousins, 42% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
- Kyle Allen, 10% Owned, Carolina Panthers
- Teddy Bridgewater, 9% Owned, New Orleans Saints
- Sam Darnold, 13% Owned, New York Jets
Bye – Mitchell Trubisky, 28% Owned, Chicago Bears
This isn’t Biscuit’s first appearance in “Bye/Buy” and I’m sure it won’t be his last. Trubisky has been sidelined since dislocating his none throwing shoulder vs the Vikings in Week 4.
Chase Daniel has been serviceable in his fill in duty for Trubisky getting the passing game going with more consistency. WR1 Allen Robinson has benefited from Daniel’s arm and aim posting weeks of 14.70 and 28.70 FP. I don’t think those numbers happen if Trubisky is under center.
Chicago is on Bye for Week 6, meaning Trubisky can be dropped. When the Bears return in Week 7 vs New Orleans, there is no guarantee that his job is secure.
Buy – Chase Edmonds, 4% Owned, Arizona Cardinals
This might be the first upside waiver wire priority/FAAB situation yet this season. We’ve seen RB1 Saquon Barkley go down and the fantasy world pay up to grab backup Wayne Gallman in Week 4. Gallman produced a gaudy 27.80 FP in his 1st start after Saquon went down and buoyed many teams to a win in Week 4. Gallman however is not a backup with upside, making the situation in Arizona unique.
In Arizona, Edmonds is a 2nd year back that was drafted in the 4th round. Being behind stud running back David Johnson, Edmonds usage has been extremely limited. Filling in for an injured Johnson in Week 5, Edmonds made the most of his opportunity going for 68 rush yards on 8 attempts, and was a factor in the passing game bringing in 3 receptions on 4 targets for 18 yards. Edmonds made it a usable fantasy day with a rushing TD on top of this production.
David Johnson’s talent is undeniable, however, since Week 2 vs Baltimore, there has been a lingering issue with his wrist that saw him sit out the majority of the 2017 season. A new back issue has popped up that seems to have him in doubt for Week 6, which would vault Edmonds into a starting role.
Edmonds possess incredible burst, and a smallish frame with a high BMI. This profile could see him move into a bell cow role and absorb the type of beatings that the Cardinals o-line allows.
If DJ is a no-go in Week 6, Edmonds vs the Atlanta Falcons is my top buy candidate for this week. On a thin week for RB waiver buys, Edmonds might be the best option not only this week, but so far in the fantasy season.
Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Latavius Murray, 48% Owned, New Orleans Saints
- Adrian Peterson, 47% Owned, Washington Redskins
- Jon Hilliman, 1% Owned, New York Giants
Bye – Malcolm Brown, 28% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
After Week 1 fantasy footballers were hopeful Brown could continue to carve out a role behind Todd Gurley. Brown saw goal line work vs the Panthers putting up 17.30 FP with 2 touchdowns. Since then, Brown’s usage has been limited, and it seems to be once again Todd Gurley’s show.
The Rams are using Gurley more in the passing game. And, overall, they are throwing the ball a ton to their talented WR corps, and have been getting their TEs involved like never before.
Unless you own Gurley, I’m recommending waving bye to Malcolm Brown.
Buy – Keke Coutee, 17% Owned, Houston Texans
Once the deepest well to keep going back to on waivers, the WR pool has started to dry up heading into Week 6.
Even though this well has started to dry up, there is no need to worry. There are still usable WRs that have been overlooked because of bye weeks and injuries.
And one of those player’s situation just got better after Week 5. That player is Keke Coutee for the Houston Texans.
Coutee flashed big game potential in 2018, particularly in the Wild Card round last year where he put up 110 yards and the Texans only TD vs the Colts.
The talent for Coutee has always been there, it’s just a matter of staying healthy that has kept Coutee off the field. With a hamstring injury to newcomer Kenny Stills, and an inability of the offense to utilize Duke Johnson, Coutee becomes a strong 3rd option in the deadly Houston passing attack.
Coutee has 4.43 speed in the slot, and with defenses clamping down on incumbent #1 Deandre Hopkins, and extra attention to be paid to Week 5 breakout WR Will Fuller, Coutee could see big production in weeks ahead.
The Texans should continue their momentum against Kansas City, Indianapolis and Oakland all before the Texans go on Bye in Week 10.
Now is the time to buy a piece of the Texans passing game. Coming on the cheap, Coutee doesn’t have the price tag that Fuller, Hopkins and Watson have.
Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Jamison Crowder, 43% Owned, New York Jets
- AJ Brown, 23% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- Deebo Samuel, 30% Owned, San Francisco 49ers
- Diontae Johnson, 33% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
Bye – Kenny Stills, 16% Owned, Houston Texans
When will we ever get a full look at the talent that Kenny Stills possesses? Stills was long overshadowed and under utilized in Miami.
Because a hamstring injury has Stills sidelined for the foreseeable future, the Kenny Stills breakout year is on pause once again. You can safely wave “bye” to Stills and slot the more explosive Coutee into his place.
Buy – Gerald Everett, 11% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
It has finally happened. The Rams have started to consistently use their talented TEs in the passing game.
This could also be a product of Jared Goff averaging a whopping 117 passing attempts in the Rams last two games.
Everett has been a beneficiary of this increased passing volume, having seen 19 targets in his last two games, posting fantasy weeks of 15.40 and 20.60 FP. Everett is a clear product of increase volume, as through the first 3 weeks, the TE saw only 7 targets combined. In 2018, Everett only saw 9.9% of the Rams target, and this small volume did not equate to fantasy success.
With increased volume, Everett has the draft capital and athletic profile to project as a TE1 in the NFL. He has been a deep fantasy sleeper of many analysts since entering the league as the 2.12 pick in 2017.
With a swing in targets, and the profile to be a Red Zone threat for the Rams, the time might be now for Everett to cement his status as a TE1 in the league. With the TE position a hot mess for fantasy owners more so than ever before, Everett is a priority buy heading into Week 6.
Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:
- Chris Herndon, 30% Owned, New York Jets
- Hunter Henry, 40% Owned, Los Angeles Chargers
- Noah Fant, 13% Owned, Denver Broncos
- Dawnson Knox, 16% Owned, Buffalo Bills
Bye – Tyler Eifert, 26% Owned, Cincinnati Bengals
If there was a spot for Eifert to be fantasy relevant, it was against the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals are #1 at giving up fantasy points to TEs in the league by a country mile.
Eifert posted an unusable 3.40 FP stat line against the Cardinals. He doesn’t seem to be a factor in the passing game that is missing star AJ Green and early season break out John Ross II.
Injuries have limited the potential of Eifert who has long flashed potential. Being limited by the Zac Taylor’s system, and being on an all around bad team, Eifert owners must be frustrated.
Wishing Eifert all the best, but there are simply better weekly options for your fantasy team out there. I’m waving Bye to Eifert until he shows production.
Defensive Buy of the Week
Buy – Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It’s surprising to be able to come back to the Panthers in Buy/Bye as they only have 46% ownership across Yahoo Leagues through 5 weeks.
The Panthers are currently the 4th highest scoring D/ST in fantasy football. They are a team that is finding ways to win without star QB Cam Newton. This is Luke Kuechley’s team now, and the defense revolves around him. Check out how Deshaun Watson so eloquently described the Carolina’s defense after their narrow defeat in Week 4:
Cornerback James Bradberry has been lights out in coverage on the left side of the field. Kuechley has anchored this defense from linebacker and former Tampa Bay Buccaneer Gerald McCoy has been rock solid at defensive left tackle. Rookie Brian Burns produced a timely forced fumble against Jacksonville that resulted in a TD and looks to be solid draft pick.
The Carolina defense is for real and have a prime match-up vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers led by turnover maven Jameis Winston. Divisional games usually have lots of story lines, and this one will be no different. With a much improved Carolina D led by former Buccaneer Gerald McCoy going up against potentially one of the best receiver corps in the NFL, this divisional game is sure to produce some fireworks. Get your popcorn ready and let your fantasy team reap the benefits.
I’m buying the criminally under-owned Panthers D/ST everywhere I can still find them in Week 6.
Rainy Day Stash– David Moore, WR, Seattle Seahawks
Welcome back, welcome back, welcome back.
Mr. David Moore is ahead of schedule for his return from a pre-season shoulder injury, and, is already back on the field.
Many had Moore pegged as a late round sleeper coming into 2019, and, in his first game back, Moore posted a respectable 8 FP.
In the ultra efficient Seattle pass game, Moore has done nothing but produce when given opportunity. In 2018, Moore only received 52 targets while putting up 445 YDs and 5 TDs. Moore was #7 in the NFL in yards per reception with an impressive 17.1 YPR.
Moore seems to be a nice fit to the passing game between alpha Tyler Lockett and left side of the field stretcher DK Metcalf. Moore can do it all, and his reemergence on the field should allow for Lockett to play more out of the slot. Adding Moore back to this passing attack bodes well for both Lockett and Metcalf as he is not a player that needs volume to produce. This seems to be a prerequisite to be a Seahawks WR.
Stash Moore for some WR depth, and, if he has one of his blow up games (18.8, 19.7, 20.3 FP), it could allow you to trade to a WR needy team.
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About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.
Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.