By: Jarred David @ricco_3733
Punt Pass Play – Week 9
Luke Combs said it best: When it rains, it pours. Except my mother-in-law is my four week slump heading into Week 9’s edition of Punt, Pass, Play. At least admit I’m willing to own up to it. We’ve all tried to sweep it under the rug, but I’m too much of a realist to admit that Jalen Richard put up more points (in PPR formats) than my recommended Play of Nick Chubb. Well, that’s that. 4-4 (4-week skid, all four being the 2nd best option).
Marvin Jones Jr. – Detroit Lions – Punt:
To be honest, I’m not a Jones homer. Unsure why. I’m surprised he wasn’t the one who got traded rather than Tate because he and Golladay are very similar to me in that they are field stretchers and deep threats. Anyhow, even with Golden Tate’s approximate ten targets per game up for grabs, the matchup doesn’t warrant a strong ROI for starting Jones this week with Xavier Rhodes likely to play after missing last week. Additionally, last week was Marvin Jones’ breakout game. Before that, he hasn’t topped 4 receptions all year and has only gone 7/93/1 the past three games–yes, I know Tate was there at the time. This game will benefit Kenny Golladay and provide additional touches out of the backfield for Kerryon Johnson.
Marvin Jones is only 28. He’s got a lot of football left and has two years left on his contract with the Lions after this season. With the trade of Golden Tate, one could argue that Jones is the guy in Detroit. However, he’s always been more of a complementary, solid WR2 for the Lions and when he was in Cincinnati. Overall, Jones may have had a one-season peak last year, but he will continuously provide volatile FLEX numbers in the fantasy world. Personally, I would try selling high on him while you can. He’s currently slated for a 58/884/10 season. Pretty solid year statistically, but the ceiling is inevitably capped and mimics the numbers similarly to that of his 2015 and 2016 seasons. We will see if he buffs those numbers or if Kenny Golladay tries to continue to be Megatron Junior.
Courtland Sutton — Denver Broncos – Pass:
Listen, I absolutely LOVE Courtland Sutton. I’m pretty stoked about him as much as you are. He is probably the top Bye fill-in you can use this week, but I still want to address you to Pass on him and here’s why: We haven’t seen him in a full-time role. Teams were focusing on containing Demaryius Thomas and Manny Sanders. With Thomas gone, defenses can focus and game plan around Sutton regardless of his stellar 19.1 yards per reception average. Thomas has been averaging seven targets per game compared to Sutton’s 4.6 so there is upside here while taking into consideration that the Texans aren’t overly stingy, ranking 12th (239.8) in passing yards allowed per game and have 21 sacks (T-10). Sorry, Sutton fans, but this week you pass on him until we can see what he does with a full-time role. I think the target share splits up between Manny Sanders, Phillip Lindsay and Sutton evenly to start.
You probably spent a mid- to late-round first round rookie pick on him. That’s okay because the 6’4″ wideout is finally getting his chance to showcase his abilities. He will remain the WR2 this season with WR1 upside, especially with Manny Sanders being a free agent come 2020. Look for some solid numbers this season with a high breakout potential next season, especially if Denver adds a quarterback to the mix to complement Sutton perfectly for the 2020 season. Sutton is a super strong hold. I wouldn’t recommend moving him other than for the most ridiculous of offers.
DeSean Jackson — Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Play:
There are many reasons why you play DeSean Jackson this week and why I have him in as a top 12 play at worst. In no particular order, reason 1: Tampa Bay’s defense is bad. Game script will allow Jackson to see the ball more. Reason 2: Mike Evans will likely draw the “best” Panthers Cornerback, whatever that means, thus giving Jackson more room to roam. Reason 3: Panthers are ranked 17th in pass defense. Reason 4: DeSean Jackson was a top 3 wide receiver while Fitzmagic was starting for the then-suspended Jameis Winston, amassing 12/312/3 in those three games. Reason 4: Going hand-in-hand with reason 1, Tampa Bay passes the ball 64.8% (8th) of the time. I understand there are a lot of mouths to feed, but, as weird as it is to type this, I’m a believer in Fitzmagic going for another 300+ (or a fourth 400+) yard game, and Jackson will be the benefactor.
Jackson isn’t a free agent until 2020. However, he’s already expressed his frustration being in Tampa Bay. He turns 32 next month and the man likely wants to contend for a Super Bowl ring. With that being said, Jackson will likely be traded during the offseason, which you can decide whether you want to keep him to see where he ends up or sell him on that same premise to a gambler in your league. He doesn’t make for a very intriguing stash, but use him this season to help you win. Godwin and Humphries are the two who will remain in Tampa Bay.
To summarize this week’s Punt Pass Play, Marvin Jones has a great opportunity to be a solid wideout the rest of the year, but I don’t see it happening against Xavier Rhodes as long as Rhodes is healthy. Courtland Sutton I am excited about, but I do want to see how he and Case Keenum mesh with Sutton in a full-time role, not to mention how the defenses will play him now that he is a WR2 and not a WR3 for Denver. Fitzmagic-to-D-Jax is real. Game script and chemistry between the two will create the ultimate opportunity for a big game from Jackson. For more fantasy advice, add me on Twitter (@ricco_3733) or ask via email at Riccadonna3733@hotmail.com. Until then, I’ll see you for the Week 10 edition of Punt Pass Play!
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