Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions Week 2
By: Nate Georgy @KingN8G
What a great opening week of football. We had some wild finishes all across the league, including a tie, and capped it off with an early game of the year candidate in New Orleans. When it comes to fantasy football, we saw some amazing performances by some unlikely candidates.
Each start/sit decision is in reference to PPR, and .5 PPR leagues. If you have any specific questions, feel free to hit me up on twitter @KingN8G.
Start – Matt Ryan vs PHI
What a terrible season opener for Matt Ryan and the Falcons in Minnesota. The former NFL MVP was being shut-out until the fourth quarter when the game was already decided. However, this week it should go a lot different as they make their home opener vs the Eagles. Philadelphia’s secondary just got torched by Case Keenum for 380 yards and 3 TDs. The Falcons should have little to no trouble moving the ball through the air in what figures to be a high scoring match-up. The Vegas over under for this game is at 51.0, one of the highest of the week.
Dak Prescott @ WAS – Prescott is coming off one of the best games of his career last week as he threw for 405 yards and 4 TDs. He draws Washington in this one who feature one of the weaker secondaries in the league. Last week Carson Wentz went off for 313 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Skins.
Derek Carr vs KC – Carr and the Raiders offense looked impressive Monday night. They will look to build on that against a suspect Chiefs defense. Look for a negative game script in this one where Carr will be asked to throw a lot.
Andy Dalton vs SF – Dalton had a great season opener with new head coach Zac Taylor against Seattle. He lit them up for 418 yards with a pair of scores. This week he goes home to face San Francisco who looked good last week, but that was against turnover prone Jameis Winston.
Tom Brady @ MIA – The Patriots passing attack was unstoppable Sunday night against the Steelers. This week they get the Dolphins who just made Lamar Jackson look like Patrick Mahomes. Only concern here is if Brady takes a seat by halftime in a potential blowout.
Sit – Kyler Murray @ BAL
Murray’s first career NFL start ended pretty solid. After looking very unimpressive in the first half, the Cardinals offense along with Murray picked it up down the stretch. Unfortunately, this week they face the Ravens in Baltimore. Baltimore will look to control the clock, which will create less opportunities for Arizona to throw at their fast pace. Look to pivot if you are afforded better options at QB.
Kirk Cousins @ GB – The Vikings made it known Sunday that they plan to be a run heavy team, as Cousins attempted only 10 passes. Expect them to throw more this week, but Green Bay’s defense looked very impressive Thursday night against the Bears.
Jameis Winston @ CAR – Winston could not have looked any worse Sunday throwing 3 INTs and under 200 yards. This week he goes to Carolina on a short week, and Carolina just held the Rams passing attack to 1 TD and 186 passing yards.
Start – Austin Ekeler @ DET
What a game to remember for Ekeler this past week against the Colts, scoring 3 times and totaling 154 yards. This week he heads to Detroit who could not contain David Johnson on the ground or through the air. The Chargers should be able to move the ball on Detroit with relative ease and create plenty scoring opportunities.
Matt Breida @ CIN – Tevin Coleman suffered a high ankle sprain and will be out for the foreseeable future. This gives Breida head duties in the backfield with Raheem Mostert spelling him on occasion. Fire up Breida!
Duke Johnson vs JAX – Johnson was very impressive Monday night not only through the air, but on the ground. Jacksonville just gave up 6 receptions to Damien Williams, and 81 yards on the ground to LeSean McCoy.
Sony Michel @ MIA – Some of you might fade Michel this week after his 15 carry 14 yard performance against the Steelers. However, the 15 carries is important as 15 carries against a terrible Dolphins defense can equal 100 yards and a couple of scores. Look for a bounce back performance by Michel in Week 2.
Sit – Aaron Jones vs MIN
Sadly for Aaron Jones owners the schedule does not get any easier after Chicago, with a match-up against Minnesota. Last week against the Bears, Jones struggled on the ground with only 39 yards and received only 1 target. It also appears that the new coaching regime still views this backfield as a committee with Jamaal Williams playing on 41% on snaps, to Jones 59%. The Vikings have one of the best defensive units in the league and just gave up 50 rushing yards on 14 attempts to Falcons RBs last week. Better days are ahead for Jones, stay patient, but look to pivot again this week.
David Montgomery @ DEN – Montgomery received just 7 total looks on opening night and only a 38% snap share. He draws Denver this week who held Josh Jacobs in check for most of the night allowing just 3.7 YPC.
Phillip Lindsay vs CHI – We just talked about what the Bears did to the Packers rushing attack last week. Lindsay saw almost an identical snap % and carry count as Royce Freeman this past week. This is shaping up to be a RB split in Denver.
Start – Tyrell Williams vs KC
The Raiders passing attack sorted out basically how we thought it would with Williams carving out a big role sans Antonio Brown. Williams saw 7 targets with a 27% target share this past week posting a 6-105-1 stat line. This week the Raiders face Kansas City, who have one of the worst defenses in the league. The Raiders are expected to trail in this game and throw much more than the 26 times they did last week. With Williams big play upside and his healthy target share, he is an easy start for Week 2.
Jamison Crowder vs CLE – You probably did not draft Crowder to be one of your starters. But how can you bench him after a 17 target and 14 reception day against one of the best defenses in the league.
Michael Gallup @ WAS – Gallup had a very impressive season opener catching 7 balls for a whopping 158 yards. This week against the Redskins Josh Norman should be following Amari Cooper around the field and most of the attention will be on Ezekiel Elliot.
John Brown @ NYG – Brown showed up big in week one against the Jets totaling 7-123-1, while being Josh Allen’s go-to target. This week Brown faces the Giants who just gave up huge days to the entire Cowboys WR group.
Sit Jarvis Landry @ NYJ
Landry underwhelmed in his first game of the 2019 season, only being able to muster 7 targets out of 38 pass attempts for Mayfield. This week the Browns take on the Jets who shut down the Bills passing attack with the exception of John Brown. Landry made his career off high target counts, and it looks like those days are going to be behind him in this offense.
Christian Kirk/Larry Fitzgerald @ BAL – Tough match-up all around for the Cardinals offense, as mentioned before. Look to avoid starting any Cardinal this week, except David Johnson.
Start Darren Waller vs KC
Waller’s debut for Oakland was one to remember Monday night as he lead the team in targets (8) and receptions (7), on a 100% snap rate. The Raiders were only forced to throw the ball 26 times, had that number been larger, Waller would have had an even better performance. Jon Gruden lined up Waller all over the field and did not take him off for one single snap. This week they face the Chiefs who gave up the most points to fantasy TEs last season. As mentioned with Derek Carr, the Raiders will probably be in a negative game script this week forcing them to throw more than 26 times. Waller is a no-brainer start this week.
Mark Andrews vs ARZ – Mark Andrews blew up last week with 8 receptions for 108 yards and a score. He faces Arizona this week who just gave up 6-131-1 to rookie T.J Hockenson. ‘
Sit – Vance McDonald vs SEA
McDonald had a lot of hype coming into this season, and it basically all ended with his week one performance against New England. McDonald failed to get a reception until there were 92 seconds left in the game. He only saw 4 targets in an extremely pass heavy game where Ben Roethlisberger threw 47 times. McDonald is not someone you should start until we actually see some production.
T.J Hockenson vs LAC – Hockenson’s NFL debut was a memorable one putting up monster numbers, but remember it was against the Cardinals defense. He goes up against the Chargers in this one, who were great against TEs last season.
NE DST @ MIA – The Patriots are coming off a near shut out against the Steelers last week and it gets even easier this week. Historically, New England struggles in Miami, but this year should be different. Virtually every defense is a good start against Miami, it would not shock me if the Dolphins fail to cross the 50 yard line.
BUF DST @ NYG – The Bills are coming off a great showing against the Jets, and now they get to face the turnover and sack prone New York Giants. Roll the Bills unit out there with confidence.
HOU DST vs JAX – The Jaguars are stuck starting 6th round rookie QB Gardner Minshew. Yes, he did look competent last week but that was against the Chiefs vanilla defense. Let us see what happens when the Texans defense gets a whole week of preparation for him.
MIN DST @ GB – The Vikings are coming off a terrific defensive performance against the Falcons. However, they have to go on the road this week to Lambeau to face Aaron Rodgers, look for better options.
PHI DST @ ATL – The Eagles defense is looking to rebound after an unimpressive performance against the pedestrian Redskins offense. It won’t get easier this week though as they travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons. The Falcons offense should bounce back at home after a disappointing week one.
Five Matchups to Exploit
PIT Passing Attack vs SEA Secondary
The Seahawks’ secondary came into the season looking like it could be one of the worst in the league, and week one they lived up to that. Seattle allowed John Ross to shred them for 7-158-2, the same John Ross who has not done a thing until this game in his career. They also allowed Andy Dalton to throw for a career high in yards at 418. The Steelers’ passing attack should have a big bounce back day on Sunday after struggling vs New England. Ben Roethlisberger is a good start at QB, and Juju Smith-Schuster should put up WR1 numbers as well. You can also go a little deeper and start Donte Moncrief, who looked as bad as you could on Sunday night, but still had 10 targets. James Washington is also a viable option in deeper leagues.
Eagles RBs vs ATL Run Defense
Last season the Falcons were one of the worst teams against the run and in week one that stayed true. Dalvin Cook and even Alexander Mattison were able to run all over the weak Falcons front seven on Sunday. This week the Eagles get their chance, rookie Miles Sanders could have a coming out party if he gets enough work. Sanders led the RB committee in snaps and carries last week. We all figure Sanders to eventually take over the backfield, but we could get a preview of it this week against Atlanta.
BUF Passing Attack vs NYG Secondary
The Giants were absolutely shredded by the Cowboys passing attack in week 1. Dak Prescott was able to pass for over 400 yards and 4 TDs while WRs Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup had big days. This week Josh Allen will look to take advantage after being up and down last week. Allen already brings a lot of fantasy value to the table with his rushing ability, but his arm could play a big factor in this contest. Get Allen in your lineups this week, along with WR John Brown. If you are in really deep leagues, don’t be afraid to throw Cole Beasley out there, he provides a safe floor and should have no trouble getting open.
BAL Passing Attack vs ARZ Secondary
The Arizona secondary is as bad as a secondary I have ever seen. Last week they allowed two different Detroit Lions to total over 100 receiving yards, and allowed QB Matthew Stafford to throw for 385 yards. Lamar Jackson is coming off a career day already and the match-up is just as easy this week for him. Now I don’t expect 5 TDs again from him, but he should have no trouble hitting his WRs again this week. Marquise Brown could very well have another big game, and as I already mentioned, Mark Andrews is an easy start for me.
CIN Rushing Attack vs SF Run Defense
When Ronald Jones can run for 5.8 YPC, then you know its a weak front seven. According to PFF the 49ers come into the season dead last against the run, and in week 1 that proved to be accurate. If Joe Mixon is healthy and good to go in this one, he should be in for a monster game on the ground. Otherwise, Giovanni Bernard has a lot of flex appeal in this match-up, with his ability to catch the ball.
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