Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions Week 4
By: Nate Georgy @KingN8G
Week 3 was an absolutely wild week for fantasy. We saw ridiculously high scoring outputs from fantasy superstars. Along with some very notable injuries that will change the fantasy landscape.
As we finish up the “honeymoon” portion of the season, now is a perfect time to capitalize and buy low/sell high on players. I always say to start your studs. However, many disappointing players are starting to fall out of the stud category, which you can see in this article.
Be sure to check out this week’s Targets/Touches report on the site from Matt Bradley here at https://couchpotatogm.com/targets-touches-report-week-3/. This article can help you decide which players you should be patient with, as well as which players to panic about. Now lets get into this week’s Start/Sit decisions.
Quarterback Starts of the Week
Daniel Jones vs WAS – What a season debut for Daniel Jones last week against Tampa Bay. Jones scored 4 TDs and had over 350 total yards against a defense that had been playing very well. This week Jones and the Giants host the Redskins who just made Mitchell Trubisky look like Patrick Mahomes. Start Jones with confidence this week.
Jared Goff vs TB – After showing up huge last season in fantasy, Jared Goff has disappointed big time thus far. This week Goff gets to face the Buccaneers who just allowed a rookie QB making his first career start to score 4 times. This game features one of the highest over/unders of the week at 49.0. There will be plenty of scoring chances for Goff and the Rams offense this week.
Philip Rivers @ MIA – This is an obvious one, because of the matchup. The Dolphins have allowed the second most points to opposing QBs thus far. That won’t stop this week as Rivers and his weapons will have a field day.
Quarterback Sits of the Week
Josh Allen vs NE – I like Josh Allen, I really do. However, you shouldn’t start him this week against the Patriots defense. The Patriots allow the least amount of points to opposing QBs at just 17 a game. The only chance Allen puts up an even respectable fantasy day is through the ground, which I do not want to bank on.
Baker Mayfield @ BAL – The Browns offense has looked pretty rough so far this season. The offensive line is as bad as could be right now. If Mayfield does not throw the ball in under 2.5 seconds, chances are he is getting sacked. This week it does not get any easier as they travel to Baltimore. Look to avoid Mayfield at all cost.
Running Back Starts of the Week
James Conner vs CIN – At the start of the season I never thought I could be putting James Conner as a start of the week. Coming into the season Conner should have been an auto-start every week. However, Conner has been a major disappointment thus far along with the whole Steelers offense. This week Conner faces the Bengals who have allowed the second most points to RBs this season. This could be Conner’s last chance to prove himself to fantasy owners, and I believe he will this week.
Kerryon Johnson vs KC – Kerryon Johnson was a breakout pick for many before the season began. Three weeks in and he has disappointed owners with his lack of receptions and yardage on the ground. Despite his horrific stat line last week in terms of efficiency, he did have 20 carries in his first game since the Lions cut CJ Anderson. I believe Kerryon has been unlucky so far this season and he is bound to start breaking off chunk runs. This week he faces the Chiefs who have given up 26 PPR Points per game to the RB position.
Phillip Lindsay vs JAX – Lindsay had a major breakthrough game last week against Green Bay. Denver appears to be locked in on running the ball as much as possible this season, even in games in which they trail. This is not the greatest matchup, but Lindsay should be involved through the air once again, giving him a safe floor.
Running Back Sits of the Week
David Montgomery vs MIN – I actually like Montgomery as a buy candidate, I think he is going to breakout sooner rather than later. But, this week against the Vikings is not the week it is going to happen. The Vikings have one of the best overall defensive units in the league and this matchup figures to be a slow paced one. The over/under is currently set at 38.5, scoring chances will be at a low this week for both sides.
Sony Michel @ BUF – Playoff hero Sony Michel has been one of the most disappointing players in fantasy this season. Not only is he putting up terrible numbers, but he looks very unimpressive while running the ball. Michel has yet to see a target and has not seen as many carries as we assumed he would get. This week he faces the Bills, a matchup that might actually force the Patriots to stay aggressive all game. Michel can not be started until the Patriots show more of a commitment to him.
Wide Receiver Starts of the Week
Sterling Shepard vs WAS – Daniel Jones favorite target appears to be Sterling Shepard. Shepard had a great week last week with 7-100-1 on 9 targets against the Buccaneers. This week he faces the Redskins who have gave up the second most points to opposing WRs this year.
Terry McLaurin @ NYG – On the other side of this matchup in New York we have another great start in Terry McLaurin. The rookie WR is just on a tear this season and it should continue this week against the Giants. New York is dead last this season against WRs, this game should see plenty of WR points on both sides. *Keep an eye out for the injury report on the status of McLaurin.
Mecole Hardman/Demarcus Robinson – I have never seen an offense that every week you can fully expect 1+ long TDs. But that is what we have in Kansas City. Both Hardman and Robinson seem to be running behind defenses for a long TD every week just like Tyreek Hill did. This week they face Detroit who have been near the bottom against WRs. Both Hardman and Robinson come in as WRs you can start that could provide huge performances.
Wide Receiver Sits of the Week
DJ Moore @ HOU – Panthers WR DJ Moore was saved last week from having a goose egg by breaking off a 52 yard TD. Moore was only targeted twice in a game where the Panthers scored at will. New QB Kyle Allen appears to favor Curtis Samuel thus far. The matchup this week against the Texans is actually a good one, but volume is definitely a concern for Moore.
Stefon Diggs @ CHI – If you want to talk about disappointing players thus far, Stefon Diggs is the spokesperson right now. Through 3 games Diggs has seen 12 targets total and only 6 receptions. The Vikings are running the ball at a ridiculous clip, creating little opportunity for Diggs to do anything. The matchup this week is also a very difficult one as they head to Chicago to face the Bears’ defense. If you own Diggs, you do not want to hear it, but it is time to sit him.
Tight End Start of the Week
Will Dissly @ ARZ – The 23 year old TE Will Dissly has been a sneaky good play this season. He appears to be a big part of the Seahawks offense as he has scored 3 TDs over the last 2 weeks. This week he faces the Cardinals who are by far the worst team in the league against TEs. Start Dissly with confidence this week.
Tight End Sit of the Week
OJ Howard @ LAR – Another week, another disappointing performance from OJ Howard. Yes it was his best game of the season, but that is not saying much. Howard still only saw 4 targets and 3 receptions, against a very beatable Giants defense. This week he faces a Rams defense who has only given up 21.7 PPR points all season long to TEs.
Defense Starts of the Week
PIT DST vs CIN – The Steelers defense looks much improved after adding Minkah Fitzpatrick. This week they face the Bengals, who’s offense has looked horrid since week one. Andy Dalton is extremely turnover prone and the offensive line can barely hold up.
NE DST @ BUF – The Bills offense is the first real offense the Patriots will face this season. That being said, this is still an easy start. The Patriots defense has yet to allow a passing or rushing TD through 3 games.
MIN and CHI DST Against Each Other – I am fine with starting either defense in this matchup. The Bears elite defense gets to face the turnover prone Kirk Cousins at home. On the other side, the Vikings impressive defensive unit gets to face Trubisky and his wildly inconsistent arm.
Defense Sits of the Week
TEN DST @ ATL – The Titans defense has been one of the most impressive ones of the season. This week they have a tough matchup though, as they head to Atlanta. You could be worse off, but I suspect there are much better streaming options out there.
HOU DST vs CAR – The Texans defense have been great at getting after the QB thus far and have been pretty good as a whole. But this week you can go ahead and sit them. The Panthers offense looked great last week with Kyle Allen at the helm, surrounded by his playmakers.
5 Matchups to Exploit
LAC vs MIA – You can start almost any Charger imaginable against the Dolphins this week. That means Philip Rivers, Austin Ekeler, and Keenan Allen as obvious starts. The Chargers defense is also a great play, as they are probably available in your leagues.
SEA Passing Attack vs ARZ Secondary – The Cardinals secondary is atrocious, this is no secret. Tyler Lockett is really starting to explode and this week will not be any different. Lockett is a locked and loaded WR2 this week. No concerns here for Russell Wilson either, and DK Metcalf is a viable flex option as well.
IND RBs vs OAK Run Defense – The Raiders have been terrible against the run this season, allowing almost 4.5 YPC. This week it is Colts RB Marlon Mack’s turn to run all over the Raiders, behind his elite offensive line. Mack is already averaging nearly 100 yards a game on the ground, he should near that total this week.
CIN RBs vs PIT Run Defense – This matchup could be a get right game for the Bengals offensive line and Joe Mixon on the ground. Mixon has underwhelmed so far while battling through injuries and poor offensive line play. This week should provide some hope though as he faces the Steelers who have allowed nearly 400 rushing yards this season.
Larry Fitzgerald/Christian Kirk vs SEA Secondary – Both Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk have had very good starts to the 2019 campaign. This week should not be any different against the Seahawks unimpressive secondary unit. Fitzgerald will likely be matched up against Jamar Taylor in the slot, while Kirk will see a lot of Shaquill Griffin and Tre Flowers.
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