Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions Week 5
By: Nate Georgy @KingN8G
Week 5 is already upon us, I know, the season needs to slow down a little.
Last week’s column saw a lot of success. As I advised starting James Conner, Kerryon Johnson, Sterling Shepard, and Will Dissly. Along with suggesting guys to sit like Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, Sony Michel, David Montgomery, DJ Moore, and OJ Howard. Of course there were some mistakes in there, nobody’s perfect. But the goal is to be perfect, so it is important that I learn and adapt to get better.
I feel very confident in this week’s picks, so here we go with Week 5’s Start/Sit decisions.
Quarterback Starts of the Week
Jameis Winston @ NO – Ever since his week 1 dumpster fire, Jameis Winston has been really good. Over his last two games Winston has totaled 7 TD passes to go along with 765 passing yards. This week he faces the Saints who have given up the 3rd most points per game to opposing QBs. Expect Winston’s hot streak to continue.
Jacoby Brissett @ KC – Colts QB Jacoby Brissett has quietly been a very useful fantasy QB. Through 4 weeks he is the 9th ranked QB, passing for multiple touchdowns in each game without having a bust yet. This week Brissett faces the Chiefs, who rank in the bottom 3rd against QBs this season. The Colts are big underdogs in this matchup, and figure to be playing catch up for a large portion of this game, which bodes well for Brissett’s fantasy value.
Quarterback Sits of the Week
Baker Mayfield @ SF – Baker Mayfield had another disappointing fantasy output last week in Baltimore. Whether it be the offensive line, the playcalling, or Baker himself, he is just not someone you should be starting until he gives you something. This week he travels to San Francisco to face the surprisingly good 49ers defense. The 49ers had an extra week of preparation and feature one of the games best pass rushes.
Philip Rivers vs DEN – Phillip Rivers is doing his usual safe floor level QB play this season, ranking 12th overall. However, this week he faces Denver, who despite their 0-4 record, ranks 4th against opposing QBs. Hold onto Rivers, as he has plenty of good matchups coming, but bench him this week.
Dak Prescott vs GB – Prescott has been absolutely electric this season, with the exception of last week. It is going to be tough to bench the number 4 QB in fantasy, but Green Bay has been that good against QBs this season. The Packers have gotten shredded on the ground so far this season, so I expect that to be the Cowboys plan of attack in this one.
Running Back Starts of the Week
David Montgomery @ OAK – The snaps and usage for rookie RB David Montgomery continues to rise. He is flirting with bell-cow like usage right now and a break out seems to be on the horizon. That breakout could very well come this week against the Raiders. The Raiders have been so bad against the pass that teams have not needed to run on them. However, with Chase Daniels at the helm for the Bears they will probably turn to a run heavy approach. This could also be your last chance to buy low on Montgomery.
Melvin Gordon/Austin Ekeler vs DEN – We should see the return of Melvin Gordon this week against the Broncos. While that puts a massive hit onto Austin Ekeler, I believe you can get one more week out of him against the terrible Broncos run defense. That being said, I am taking no chances if I own Melvin Gordon. I am starting him as well, 12-15 touches will be enough for a good day against this Broncos front 7.
Mark Ingram @ PIT – Last week Mark Ingram disappointed fantasy owners because of a negative game script. This week the Ravens will probably be in a positive/neutral game script against Pittsburgh. The Ravens are a run first team and will give Ingram plenty of looks in this contest. The Steelers currently rank 7th in points given up per game to RBs.
Running Back Sits of the Week
Wayne Gallman vs MIN – Gallman had a monster game in his first start of the season against the Redskins. However I expect this week to go different as he faces the Vikings defense. The Vikings have been one of the better teams against RBs this season, allowing just 3.7 YPC and 19 receptions. Gallman appears to be a good fill in until Barkely returns, but this is not the week.
Josh Jacobs vs CHI – The early season utilization of Josh Jacobs has to be frustrating for Jacobs owners. He is getting the carries, that is when the game is close enough, but he is not being utilized as a pass catcher. Expect the frustration to continue this week against a Bears defense giving up just 3.0 YPC to opposing RBs.
Phillip Lindsay/Royce Freeman @ LAC – We have a full blown running back by committee situation in Denver. Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman have nearly identical snaps/carries/touches so far this season. They will both have their good weeks and bad weeks, but it is going to be nearly impossible to predict. You can not start either this week in Los Angeles against a Chargers team that has stopped RBs thus far.
Wide Receiver Starts of the Week
Tyler Boyd vs ARZ – John Ross suffered an injury Monday night, and the Bengals have responded by putting him on Injured Reserve. With AJ Green still sidelined, Tyler Boyd is the last remaining viable target in Cincinnati. Volume was already going to make Boyd a great start, but he also gets to face the non-existent Cardinals secondary this week.
Larry Fitzgerald @ CIN – On the other side of this matchup, we have a similar situation with Larry Fitzgerald. Christian Kirk suffered an ankle injury last week and is likely to miss some time. This leaves the Cardinals with Fitzgerald as the easy number one target against a Bengals defense with holes in the secondary.
Emmanuel Sanders/Courtland Sutton @ LAC – Despite the play of Joe Flacco this season, both Emmanuel Sanders and Courtland Sutton have been very impressive. This week they face the Chargers in a game that they should be trailing in early, which bodes well for these two Bronco pass catchers.
Wide Receiver Sits of the Week
Tyrell Williams vs CHI – After two impressive games to start the season, Tyrell Williams has been bailed out by TDs the last two weeks. Darren Waller has easily taken over as the top pass catching option on this team. This week he faces the Bears in a tough matchup that figures to be slow paced, and low scoring.
DJ Moore vs JAX – It is clear that DJ Moore and new QB Kyle Allen do not have the same connection that Newton and Moore had. Moore has just 7 targets and 4 receptions total over his last 2 games with Kyle Allen. Until we see Allen start looking his way more, it is going to be tough to start Moore.
Golden Tate vs MIN – Golden Tate’s 4 game suspension is finished and he will return this week for the Giants. While I’m optimistic about what Tate can bring as a fantasy player this season, this week I am avoiding starting him. It may take Tate a little bit to establish a connection with Daniel Jones on the short timing routes that Tate has made a living off of. The matchup is also not the best against the Vikings defense.
Tight End Start of the Week
Jimmy Graham @ DAL – I can not believe that it is 2019 and I am willing to start Jimmy Graham, but that is how shallow TE is. Last week Graham saw a high target share from Aaron Rodgers, and that was especially true when Davante Adams went down. Adams does not expect to play in this one which leaves Graham as Rodgers most trusted target. The Cowboys have been vulnerable as well against TEs this season, so if you are streaming the position, go ahead and start Jimmy.
Tight End Sit of the Week
Delaine Walker vs BUF – Once again, Tight End is so shallow that you might be stuck with Walker. But if you can avoid him, do so in this matchup against the Bills. If you are going to beat the Bills anywhere this season, it’s on the ground, so I expect the Titans to try and ride Henry this game. Walker is coming off a near goose egg last week, and the Bills have given up 19 points all season long to the tight end position.
Defense Starts of the Week
PHI DST vs NYJ – The Eagles defense this season has been a tale of two groups. The front seven have shut down any RB that has come its way, while the secondary is letting any and every passing attack gash them. Luckily for them, this week they face Luke Falk and the Jets pedestrian passing attack.
CAR DST vs JAX – Over the last few weeks the Panthers defense has looked pretty good, especially when it comes to getting after the QB. This week they face the Jaguars who have struggled to protect their QBs and feature a below average offense at best.
TEN DST vs BUF – The Titans defense continues to impress this season, and will continue to do so in this matchup against the Bills. Josh Allen is in the concussion protocol and may miss this week, which will force Matt Barkely into action again.
Defense Sit of the Week
GB DST @ DAL – The Packers defense has been sensational this season. But this week you do not want to start them in Dallas against one of the top offenses.
5 Matchups to Exploit
PHI Passing Attack vs NYJ Secondary – The Jets have been terrible this season against WRs, and this week they face a good passing attack in Philadelphia. Alshon Jeffery can be started this week, and if Desean Jackson is cleared to play, he can also find his way into lineups.
TB Passing Attack vs NO Secondary – Speaking of terrible against the pass, that has been the Saints this season. They face the Buccaneers this week who just threw all over the Rams secondary. As mentioned Winston can and should be started, along with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
David Johnson vs CIN Front Seven – The Bengals have not been able to stop RBs for the life of them this season both on the ground and through the air. Last week James Conner and Jaylen Samuels both had huge games against them, this week it is David Johnson’s turn. DJ has had a good start to this season through the air, but he should be able to put up good rushing numbers this week for a change.
Ezekiel Elliot vs GB Run Defense – As previously mentioned, the Packers defense has been good this season overall. They are prone to big rushing totals however, allowing both Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders to have big yardage numbers last week. Who better to pile up yardage than Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys plan of attack in this one will be to keep Rodgers off the field as much as possible and gash the Packers front seven with Zeke.
Devonta Freeman Pass Catching vs HOU – The Texans have not been able to stop pass catching RBs through the air at all this season. Alvin Kamara, Austin Ekeler, Christian McCaffrey, and even Leonard Fournette all have had good days through the air against them. Freeman is coming off a big week through the air with 9 targets, 8 receptions, and 72 yards against the Titans. Add in the Falcons terrible offensive line, making Matt Ryan get rid of the ball quickly to Freeman. He could be in for another huge PPR showing.
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