Start/Sit – Go time! NFL Week 4 – Fantasy Football Lineup Advice

Start/Sit

The first three weeks of the 2020 Fantasy Football season are now history. For those of us sitting at 3 – 0 or 2 – 1, don’t get complacent. As for the unfortunate souls sitting at 1 – 2 or 0 – 3 you should have all of your lineup missteps out of your system by now. Before we get to the start/sit recommendations let’s take a quick look back at my Week 3 recommendations one last time; then turn the page to Week 4.

What I got RIGHT in Week 3 Start/Sit
  • Tom Brady TB – “Tom Terrific” delivered a Top 10 QB finish in Week 3 right on que (23.88 pts.)
  • Derek Carr LVR– Bill Belichick and the Patriots completely neurtalized Darren Waller and the Raiders short passing game as expected (15.44 pts.)
  • Jerick McKinnon SF – McKinnon turned in a quality RB2 performance despite the fact the Jeff Wilson vultured a couple scoring opportunities (16.7 pts.)
  • David Johnson HOU He actually performed better than I thought… However, you drafted him as an RB2 and he gave you FLEX value so I’m gonna call it a win (12.6 pts.)
  • Curtis Samuel CAR – Same old, same old (9.2 pts.)
  • Mo Alie-Cox IND – TE6 Overall in Week 3. Should be owned in 100% of leagues (14.0 pts.)
What I got Wrong in Week 2 Start/Sit
  • Ryan Tannehill TEN – Naturally, Derrick Henry gets off the snide and Tannehill has his worst game of the season.. Smh… (12.74 pts.)
  • Joshua Kelley LAC – This one really hurt. Kelley lost a fumble on his best run of the day and was marginalized for the rest of the game (5.2 pts.)
  • Corey Davis TEN – Davis went as Tannehill did, decent but underwhelming considering a choice matchup (11.9 pts.)
  • CeeDee Lamb DAL – Cedrick Wilson?!? Fml… (11.6 pts.)
  • Sammy Watkins KC – Wasn’t sure if Sammy would suit up or what kind of role he would have but he turned in a quiet WR3 performance on the low (13.2 pts.)
  • Drew Sample CIN –  Welp, a complete whiff (1.1 pts)

Gotta dig deep with the COVID cases spiking. Let’s get into Week 4 Start/Sit decisions.

Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations

start/sit

START Jared Goff vs. New York Giants

Jared Goff is playing very well. He’s currently QB9 in fantasy leagues and that ranking doesn’t quite do him justice in terms of his performance in reality. Therein lies the rub. Goff has an overmatched Giants opponent at home but his effectiveness may not necessarily translate into high end fantasy production.

Will the Giants be able to keep pace? Will the Rams call off the dogs? There aren’t many 1-yard TD passes in the Rams’ offense to inflate counting stats; Los Angeles would rather play smash-mouth in short yardage/goal-line situations. At any rate, I’m firing up the Rams signal-caller and will let the chips fall where they may.

START Baker Mayfield @ Dallas Cowboys

Make no mistake, the linchpin of the Browns offense is Nick Chubb (and Kareem Hunt). But the Cowboys are allowing the 3rd and 4th most fantasy points to the quarterback and receiver positions respectively. This should be a layup for Mayfield and his talented band of weapons. I anticipate a shootout and Mayfield’s best performance in this young season thus far.

SIT Carson Wentz @ San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are a mash unit defense and on its surface this might be a nice bounce-back spot for Wentz. However, the Eagles have placed their 3rd offensive lineman on injured reserved. Furthermore, Philadelphia’s receiving core is ailing. Most importantly, Wentz simply isn’t playing well. He’s not seeing the field clearly, his decision-making has been questionable at best, his mechanics are a mess and his confidence appears to be waning.

Running Backs

start/sit

START Todd Gurley @ Green Bay Packers

Gurley’s fantasy prospects will always be capped considering his lack of involvement in the passing game. He has just three receptions thru three weeks. So while an Alvin Kamara type performance is out of the question; Gurley should find running room and the endzone against the Green Bay Packers and their porous run defense. The Packers gave up the third most fantasy points to the running back position in 2019. They haven’t gotten much better in 2020. Currently allowing the 4th most fantasy points to RBs.

START James Robinson @ Cincinnati Bengals

Fantasy Football Scoring Ledgers – Running Backs thru three weeks (PPR):

  1. Alvin Kamara NO – 106.8
  2. Aaron Jones GB – 79.8
  3. Ezekiel Elliott DAL – 67.7
  4. Dalvin Cook MIN – 64.8
  5. James Robinson JAX – 61.9

While folks are getting swept up in “Minshew Mania” James Robinson has put the Jacksonville Jaguars backfield in a stranglehold. For those that haven’t adjusted their expectations consider the following. Robinson has just one fewer target (11) than noted pass-catching back Chris Thompson. The rookie UDFA has accounted for 64% of the Jags rushing attempts and 91% of carries by a Jaguars running back. The Bengals are ceding the 6th most fantasy points to the running back position. I’m not sure matchpus matter at this point. Put Robinson in your lineup and forget about it. Start em’.

SIT Antonio Gibson vs. Baltimore Ravens

An embarassed Ravens defense will be on full tilt this week. I’m not sure anyone on Washington’s team is worth starting outside of Terry McLaurin; and I don’t even feel great about the uber-talented wideout. Antonio Gibson is a no-go for me in Week 4.

Wide Receivers Start/Sit Recommendations

start/sit

START Robby Anderson vs. Arizona Cardinals

The current WR8 overall in PPR leagues, Robby Anderson is proving to be much more than just a deep threat. The chemistry between Teddy Bridgewater and Anderson is phenomenal. Anderson has caught 20 of 23 targets to date. It’s as if the two free agent acquisitions have been playing together for years. The Cardinals defense has been stout against the pass statistically. However, Arizona’s competition thru three weeks has been shaky at best. Whether it be injuries (49ers, Lions) or pure ineptitude (Washington) Week 4 should prove to be the biggest challenge yet for the Cardinals secondary.

START Will Fuller vs. Minnesota Vikings

Fuller came out the gate in a big way during the season opener only to follow that performance up with a goose egg in Week 2. Last week Fuller got back on track witha 4/54/1 line and reports are Fuller finished the game unscathed. Fuller’s health is always tenuous but the Texans are desperate for a win. I anticipate Deshaun Watson targeting his top wideout early and often in an effort to get in that win column. The Vikings young corners could very well serve as the panacea.

SIT A.J. Green vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

With my luck this is the week Green gets on track but I’m going to have to see it before I believe it. The veteran wideout appears to have lost a step. His opponent in Week 4 doesn’t represent a substantial challenge but injuries appear to have claimed Green’s ability to separate from defenders. Frankly, I would start Tee Higgins over Green for the foreseeable future.

Tight Ends

START T.J. Hockenson vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints are the worst team in the NFL at defending the tight end position. New Orleans has allowed at least one receiving touchdown to an opposing TE in each contest thus far; including 2 to two different tight ends last Sunday. Hockenson clearly has taken a step forward as he’s currently a Top 10 tight end in fantasy football. Despite Kenny Golladay returning to the lineup last week Hockenson set a season high in targets (7) in Week 3. Stafford likes what he sees. I do too. Do the math. Start em’.

START Robert Tonyan vs. Atlanta Falcons

I recommended adding Robert Tonyan earlier this week and now I’m suggesting you start him. Tonyan leads the Packers tight ends in snaps averaging 60% or more each week and has scored in back-to-back games. Green Bay’s receiving core has been compromised by injury (Davante Adams, Allen Lazard) so I expect Tonyan to get even more opportunities to make a difference for your fantasy teams on Monday night. Not to mention the Falcons are the 2nd worst team in the NFL at defending the tight end position. Atlanta has allowed a tight end to score in every game this week including twice in Week 3.

SIT Ian Thomas vs. Arizona Cardinals

Ian Thomas is basically the Curtis Samuel of tight ends as far as I’m concerned. I’m sure he’ll have a good week at some point but I’m not attempting to guess when that’ll actually happen; nor should you. Leave Ian Thomas in the free agent pool where he belongs.

Best of luck this weekend. Remember always start your STUDS and I take ZERO responsibility if these Start/Sit recommendations are wrong. Also, if my calls are right make certain you tell a friend. Start/Sit.

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CPGM Juice

Author: CPGM Juice