So… That wasn’t great. Let’s see if we can do better in Week 15; but before that let’s look at where I went wrong with my Week 14 Start/Sit recommendations.
What I got RIGHT in Week 14 Start/Sit
- Taysom Hill NO – It wasn’t pretty but Hill turned in a Top 12 finish. However, the ride is over with Drew Brees returning to the lineup in Week 15 (19.94 pts.)
- D’Andre Swift DET – Swift turned in a solid RB2 finish despite being on a bit of a pitch count. The future is bright (15.0 pts.)
- Raheem Mostert SF – His performance in reality was better than that of Fantasy (9.0 pts.)
- Robby Anderson CAR – WR2 numbers… Useful, useful (17.7 pts.)
What I got Wrong in Week 14 Start/Sit
- Ryan Tannehill TEN – I qualified this start recommendation as a potential Derrick Henry “get right” spot and that’s exactly what happened (16.48 pts.)
- Baker Mayfield CLE – I did not anticipate a Big 12 game-script; QB2 Overall.. Ooops (31.02 pts.)
- Wayne Gallman NYG – Gallman finished just outside of RB2 range having been vultured by Dion Lewis on a short TD run (10.3 pts.)
- Cole Beasley BUF – It was the Stefon Diggs (WR1 Overall) show (9.1 pts.)
- Rashard Higgins CLE – DB’s losing their footing and the Ravens were down several corners (injuries). Mayfield/Higgins took advantage (18.8 pts.)
- Dalton Schultz – Been a crap shoot at tight end all season.. Sick of dis… (6.4 pts.)
An abbreviated set of Week 15 Start/Sit recommendations after a Saturday slate.
Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations
START Jared Goff vs. New York Jets
C’mon McVay, this should be a nice stat-padding week for Jared Goff. The Rams face the Jets who allow the 2nd most fantasy points (23.0) per game to the quarterback position. The matchup, the controlled environment in the dome and a ripe opportunity to build your quarterback’s confidence should reward fantasy owners this week. Start em.
START Philip Rivers vs. Houston Texans
Rivers has been sharp over his last two contests including a Week 13 matchup against the Houston Texans. During that contest, Rivers completed 77% of his passes, threw a pair of TDs and didn’t turn the ball over. Perhaps most importantly he finally got on the same page with T.Y. Hilton who has been on a tear as of late. You can pretty much start all your Colts players in this one; the listless Texans defense allows the 11th, 2nd, and 10th most fantasy points per game to the QB, RB and WR positions respectively this season.
SIT Tua Tagovailoa vs. New England Patriots
Tua’s supporting cast looks like a M.A.S.H. unit at the moment and we’re all familiar with Bill Belichick’s propensity for marginalizing rookie quarterbacks. Sit em.
START J.K. Dobbins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
J.K. Dobbins has double digit carries and a rushing touchdown in three straight. Gus Edwards and of course Lamar Jackson will continue to eat into Dobbins’ volume but it appears Mark Ingram is slated for the short-end of the stick which helps crystallize the RB touch distribution in Baltimore. The Jaguars can’t wait for the season to be over having allowed the 5th most fantasy points (22.9) per game to the running back position. I expect Dobbins to get some extra run in what should be a blowout and push 20 total touches. Start em.
START Jeff Wilson Jr. @ Dallas Cowboys
I suggested you stay away from Raheem Mostert and by proxy the 49ers backfield a week ago. However, this Sunday San Fran should enjoy a robust rushing effort from Mostert’s teammate Jeff Wilson (and Mostert) against the Cowboys. Dallas allows a cool 21.0 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs; that’s 6th most in the NFL. Mostert still isn’t quite 100% having been limited in practice this week. Neither back will get a full complement of carries. But if I had to choose one to return RB2 fantasy production this week it would be Wilson; considering his usage around the goal-line.
SIT Giovani Bernard vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh has been less than stellar on either side of the ball in recent weeks but Cincinnati’s barren roster should be the panacea. The Steelers only allow 13.7 points per game to the running back position that’s the 2nd fewest in the NFL. You certainly can’t confuse Bernard with a STUD so this matchup clearly dictates… Sit em.
Wide Receivers Start/Sit Recommendations
START T.Y. Hilton vs. Houston Texans
Heading into Week 13 I recommended a speculative add of T.Y. Hilton considering his understandably low ownership percentage juxtaposed with a favorable schedule down the stretch. Hilton has made a handsome living feasting on Houston Texan defensive backs over the years. He and Philip Rivers have found their chemistry. That QB/WR battery keeps it going in Week 15. Start em.
START Keke Coutee @ Indianapolis Colts
After a huge letdown in Week 14, I’m going back to the Keke Coutee well once again. Two weeks ago, Coutee torched the Colts for 8/141 on nine targets. Furthermore, Will Fuller and Randall Cobb are NOT walking through that door. However, Brandin Cooks is expected to play and I actually believe that bodes in Coutee’s favor. Cooks was in the lineup during the last HOU/IND matchup in which Coutee enjoyed a career day. His speed opened up the field for Keke to take advantage of man-to-man coverage and find holes in the Colts’ zone coverage.
SIT DeVante Parker vs. Miami Dolphins
I expect Parker to play albeit at less than 100%. He’s even enjoyed some success against All-Pro cornerback Stephon Gilmore. However, I think Tua will be seeing ghosts as I alluded to before. Simply not confident in the Phins passing game this week. Sit em.
START Tyler Higbee vs. New York Jets
It took everything in me not recommend Eric Ebron vs. the Cincinnati Bengals (wink). Targeting tight ends facing the Bengals has been a fruitless effort for weeks and while the process including Ebron’s robust/consistent target share in recent weeks keeps calling my name I’m not going to do that to you again (wink).
Instead, let’s take a complete shot in the dark on Tyler Higbee. You know I like Goff this week. There’s been an increase in 12 personnel (two tight ends sets) from the Rams in recent weeks; in large part to establish the running game. However, I think it’s about time the Rams take advantage of some play-action out of their run heavy looks. The Jets allow the MOST fantasy points (11.8) per game to the tight end position. I think a tidy 4/40/1 line is within the realm of possiblity… Sure, why not!?
*Whispers start Ebron…
Best of luck this weekend. Remember always start your STUDS and I take ZERO responsibility if these Start/Sit recommendations are wrong. Also, if my calls are right make certain you tell a friend. Start/Sit.
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