Start/Sit

Start/Sit – NFL Week 16 – Fantasy Football Lineup Advice

If you didn’t face Alvin Kamra during Championship Week congratulations!. You’re still in the hunt. A quick look back at my mixed-bag of Week 15 results. Then we’ll get into my Week 16 Start/Sit recommendations. The final installment for the 2020 Fantasy Football season.

What I got RIGHT in Week 15 Start/Sit
  • Tua Tagovailoa MIA – He finished outside outside of the Top 12 so the “sit” recommendation was indeed warranted. Ironically, he outscored both of my start recommendations at the quarterback position (19.70 pts.)
  • J.K. Dobbins BAL – Feed him (15.1 pts.)
  • Keke Coutee HOU – A late fumble lost as he was efforting to get in the endzone put a cap on what should have been an even better day (14.3 pts.)
  • DeVante Parker MIA – Turns out he didn’t play… I’m counting it as a win! (0.0 pts.)
  • Tyler Higbee LAR – TE7 Overall. I really wish McVay/Goff would target the tight end position more frequently (17.7 pts.)
What I got Wrong in Week 15 Start/Sit 
  • Philip Rivers IND – It started out as if Rivers was going to have a huge day but alas… (17.02 pts.)
  • Jared Goff LAR – My level of frustration with Sean McVay AND Jared Goff (McVay in particular) can’t be measured right now (16.26 pts.)
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. SF – Close but no cigar (12.0 pts.)
  • Giovani Bernard CIN – A Top 10 finish by Bernard… Smh… Pittsburgh really misses Bud Dupree, their run defense has gone to hell (22.7 pts.)
  • T.Y. Hilton IND– Receivers typically go as quarterbacks go… What a waste (11.1 pts.)

It’s been an interesting season to say the least. Let’s finish strong! Week 16 start/sit recommendation; and Happy Holidays to you and yours!

Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations

Start/Sit

START Jalen Hurts @ Dallas Cowboys

Three games into the Jalen Hurts era in Philadelphia and he appears to be a Fantasy Football league-winner. Over those three starts Hurts is the QB7 overall. His poise, decision-making and dual-threat ability has completely turned the Eagles’ offense around. Furthermore, he is carrying fantasy teams to a championship. Not only is a he a MUST start against the Dallas Cowboys; but he could be poised for a huge fantasy season in 2021. Start em.

START Mitchell Trubisky @ Jacksonville Jaguars

My only, slight reservation in recommending starting Trubisky is that David Montgomery may steal the show; he’s been on an absolute tear as of late. However, I recommend trusting the process. A dual-threat QB, with stabilized confidence, facing an inferior opponent is a recipie for fantasy success. The Jaguars have packed it in for 2020. They allow the 2nd most fantasy points per game (23.0) to the quarterback position. As a result, I’m willing to plug Trubisky in my lineup even during Championship Week. Mitchell has been a QB1 throughout these fantasy football playoffs and I expect that to continue this week.

SIT Derek Carr vs. Miami Dolphins

Fighting for their playoff lives I’m not convinced Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders get it done. Carr is coming off an injury-shortened Week 15 and faces a stingy Miami Dolphins pass defense. Not that Carr is turnover prone, in fact, he’s rather conservative by most metrics; but Miami’s affinity for causing turnovers concerns me. Fewer plays ran doesn’t bode well for fantasy success; nor does this matchup invoke confidence in a somewhat inconsistent QB. The Raiders need to lean on that massive offensive line and run the football if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. I’m anticipating more of a game-manager effort this week from Carr.

Running Backs

Start/Sit

START Antonio Gibson vs. Carolina Panthers

This one is really quite simple. If Antonio Gibson is healthy start him. The rookie running back has exceeded all of over expectations and he gets a quality matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers allow the 8th most fantasy points (19.5) to the running back position. If Gibson is ruled inactive, pivot to J.D. McKissic as the Panthers allow an inordinate amount of receptions to the running back position as well. 

START David Johnson vs. Cincinnati Bengals

By now you know that Deshaun Watson has a dearth of receiving options on the perimeter. However, that doesn’t mean the Texans will simply lean on the running game. Rather David Johnson, an accomplished pass receiving back should continue to see a bevy of targets. Last week Johnson caught 11 of 11 targets for 106 yards. Backfield mate Duke Johnson has been ruled OUT for Week 16, so expect a substantial workload (particularly through the air) for Johnson during Championship Week.

SIT James Conner vs. Indianapolis Colts

I think from a reality standpoint James Conner returning to the lineup is a huge boost for Pittsburgh. However, from a fantasy football perspective I’m not starting him unless I simply lack better options at this juncture. Conner has been subject to injury and COVID-19 during the season and the Steelers’ offensive line hasn’t exactly been moving defenders off the ball. The Steelers have been pass happy to a fault and the spectre of Benny Snell is always a threat to vulture goal-line touches. Not to mention the Colts have a quality defense.… Sit em.

Wide Receivers Start/Sit Recommendations

Start/Sit

START Antonio Brown @ Detroit Lions

Brown got loose for an explosive play last week and I think he keeps it going against the Detroit Lions. AB isn’t getting an insane amount of target volume but he looks pretty sharp to me. The Lions can’t rush the passer (5th fewest sacks) and they can’t cover (3rd most passing TDs allowed). Even with a declining skill-set, Tom Brady given time with a slew of weapons can make the defense pay. Start em.

START Jarvis Landry @ New York Jets

Baker Mayfield has been sharp over the past month or so and Jarvis Landry is his preferred target. The Jets got a big win last week, led by a quality performance from their defense. However, Kevin Stefanski, unlike Sean McVay has been in his play-calling bag as of late. I expect the Browns to move the ball at will against a Jets defense missing their budding superstar Quinnen Williams on the interior of the defenisve line. To add more fuel to the fire; the New York Jets allow the 9th most fantasy points per game (25.8) to the wide receiver position. Keep Landry in your lineups.

UPDATE: With Jarivs Landry ruled OUT for close contact COVID-19 precautions pivot to: Keke Coutee (HOU), Russell Gage (ATL), Tyron Johnson (LAC) and Allen Lazard (GB)

SIT DJ Chark vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears defense is good and the Jaguars offense is NOT… with the exception of James Robinson. Chark, obviously is talented but as I’ve stated before Jacksonville has packed it in. Gardner Minshew will be running for his life and even with rookie standout Jaylon Johnson missing in the Chicago secondary I think Chark is kept under relative wraps. Sit em.

Tight Ends

START Noah Fant @ Los Angeles Chargers

I stated back in January that Fant was a player I was particularly excited about heading into the 2020 Fantasy Football season. He’s had some peaks and valley’s throughout the season primarly due to injury and suspect QB play but I’ve been encouraged by his development. Coming off a Week 15 performance in which he saw 11 targets and scored I’m willing to roll the dice on him amongst a tight end “wasteland” in what should be a high-scoring affair against the Chargers. Furthermore, I’m “ALL IN” in 2021.

Best of luck this weekend. Remember always start your STUDS and I take ZERO responsibility if these Start/Sit recommendations are wrong. Also, if my calls are right make certain you tell a friend. Start/Sit.

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