Start/Sit – NFL Week 7 – Fantasy Football Lineup Advice

Start/Sit

What was that!? Week 6 of the 2020 NFL Season was an abomination for most of us. Except for CPGM Headley who dropped over 200 points on me in a head-to-head matchup (Matt Ryan, Derrick Henry, Kenyan Drake, George Kittle). But, no matter how lopsided a score may have been (in most leagues) it only counts as ONE loss. Chomping at the bit to get to my Week 7 start/sit recommendations but let’s take a quick look at my Week 6 hits and misses.

What I got RIGHT in Week 6 Start/Sit
  • Joe Burrow CIN – I guess it’s a win since he didn’t finish Top 12. But considering how poorly my QB start recommendations went I can’t even bask in it  (17.72 pts.)
  • Ronald Jones TB – Put some respeck on ROJO’s name! RB4 overall  (26.1 pts.)
  • James Robinson JAX – Week 6 was weird… Top 10 finish (15.3 pts.)
  • Justin Jefferson MIN – THE WR1 in Week 6!! (39.6 pts.)
  • Chase Claypool PIT – Finished just outside the Top 12 and he’s proven over the last couple weeks that he is a MUST start until further notice. We’ll see what happens when Diontae Johnson returns to the lineup. But James Washington nor Juju Smith-Schuster should reamain ahead of Claypool in the targets/snaps pecking order. Just my two cents (18.1 pts.)
  • Jerry Jeudy DEN – I knew it would be tough sledding; but what’s most concerning is that Tim Patrick appears to be the “go to” WR in Denver as opposed to Jeudy (5.2 pts.)
What I got Wrong in Week 6 Start/Sit
  • Ben Roethlisberger PIT – It was a weird and awful week in fantasy football and for my Start/Sit recommendations. As it pertains to Big Ben, I blame Baker Mayfield. The Browns never challenged Pittsburgh and the Steelers hung 38 on Cleveland despite Roethlisberger throwing for a season low 162 yards. This contest also marked the first game this season in which Roethlisberger didn’t throw at least two touchdown passes (10.98 pts.)
  • Matthew Stafford – The Lions won going away 34 -16 but Stafford’s right arm wasn’t needed (13.32 pts.)
  • Phillip Lindsay DEN – Any other week this would have been a win but alas. Lindsay ran hard behind a good effort from the Broncos oline to the tune of 23/101, good for a Top 24 finish. Still, zero involvement in the passing game despite no Melvin Gordon…  (10.1 pts.)
  • T.J. Hockenson DET – He caught Stafford’s lone TD but… yeah… (9.5 pts.)
  • Mike Gesicki MIA – Miami tight ends Adam Shaheen and Durham Smythe each caught a touchdown BUT Mike Gesicki didn’t bust a grape. Make it make sense… (0.0 pts.)
  • Logan Thomas WAS – Someone clearly showed Thomas what I wrote about him last week. I mean that’s the only logical explanation as to why I was so spectacularly wrong. Top 10 finish in Week 6 (13.2 pts.)

Put that ridiculous Week 6 in the rear-view mirror. Let’s turn the page to Week 7 Start/Sit recommendations.

Quarterback Start/Sit Recommendations

Start/Sit

START Justin Herbert vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

I expect Justin Herbert to do in Week 7, what I thought Matthew Stafford would do to the Jags in Week 6; shred them. I anticipate Herbert will make his share of rookie mistakes but he’s been playing unencumbered and letting it rip. It hasn’t mattered who the opponent is, Hebert has put up coutning stats. The rookie QB is averaging just under 300 yards/gm and has a 9:3 TD/INT ratio thru the first four starts of his career. Start em.

START Joe Burrow vs. Cleveland Browns

Joe Burrow’s Week 2 performance against the Cleveland Browns has been his best game to date (316 yards, 3 TDs and no INTs), at least statistically.  So I’m going back to the well in Week 7. The Bengals struggle to run the ball effectively and the defense hasn’t exactly kept them in games. Burrow has been forced to put the ball in the air early and often which presents an opportunity to compile those all important fantasy points against a middle of the road pass defense. The offensive line will need to hold up better but Burrow has a distinct possibility to replicate his Top 10 performance from Week 2.

SIT Derek Carr vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After a shaky beginning to his Week 5 start, Carr turned in one of his better performances in recent memory. The Las Vegas Raiders are coming off of a bye week, rested and prepared it would seem. Jon Gruden has his young football team playing well and faces his former team the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Great storylines and intrigue in this contest for sure. However, the Bucs defense is playing GREAT. Tampa has the makings of their very own “No Fly Zone” and while there is a chance the Bucs might have a letdown traveling out West after dominating Aaron Rodgers the Green Bay Packers, I’m not tempting fate; particularly behind a compromised oline due COVID-19. Sit em’.

Running Backs

Start/Sit

START James Conner @ Tennessee Titans

Despite their undefeated record the Tennessee Titans have underwhelmed defensively. They are one of five teams allowing 5.0+ yards per carry; the only team among the five with a winning record. That’ll catch up with you eventually and it could be the determining factor in Week 7.

As a result, things setup nicely for James Conner who has been very good this season and is currently the RB17 overall. The Titans allow the 10th most fantasy points to the running back position. Set and forget as Conner should push for a Top 12 finish this week.

START Devin Singletary/Zack Moss @ New York Jets

We have a squeakly will situation in which the Buffalo Bills should put this one away early. The Bills’ running game has been disappointing to this point but they will have plenty of opportunities to get on track in Week 7. Singletary and Moss have been splitting carries fairly evenly and both are in the RB2/Flex discussion this week.

SIT David Montgomery @ Los Angeles Rams

The Bears’ running game stinks. The offensive line fails to create running room on a consistent basis; and Montgomery can’t make all 11 guys miss. Through six weeks the Bears are averaging less than 4.0 yards per carry; 75% of the league has a better per carry average. Montgomery’s increased involvement in the passing game helps to stabilize his weekly floor; but that floor is too low for a back averaging 17 touches per contest. Sit em’.

Wide Receivers Start/Sit Recommendations

Start/Sit

START Tee Higgins vs. Cleveland Browns

Tee Higgins is rounding into a fantasy football dream. The eye test/film reflects an ascending talent that has quickly garnered the trust of Joe Burrow. From an analytics prospective everything is coming together. Air yards, air yards per target, target share, air yardage percentage, depth of target all above average. All that remains for Higgins to become a fantasy football force is a slight uptick in catch rate. The Browns could be the final catalyst. Cleveland is currently allowing the 4th most fantasy points to the WR position. Start em’.

START Christian Kirk vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Arizona Cardinals’ passing game has been a bit off lately. Particularly with Nuk Hopkins somewhat slowed by injury. This past Monday I watched Kyler Murray fail to connect with Andy Isabella deep time and again. However, Murray did connect with Christian Kirk for a long score and it seems that Kliff Kingsbury is making a concerted effort to involve Kirk in the offensive attack.

The Cardinals face the Seahawks in Week 7 and should have their way with a short-handed defense. However, the real chore will be keeping pace with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense. In order to do so, Kyler Murray will have to be much more efficient and complete more than nine passes a la Monday night. Hopkins will get his, of this I have no doubt; but the X-Factor in this game is Kirk. I believe he’s up for the challenge.

SIT Julian Edelman vs. San Francisco 49ers

Set aside a big Week 2 performance against a porous Seahawks secondary and Julian Edelman has been a huge disappointment. He is nursing an injury which appears to have robbed him of his patented quicks. However, when you’re struggling to create separation despite free releases and operating out of the slot that’s a huge red flag. To make matters worse, Edelman has had a serious case of the drops. I’d like to see him string a couple quality performances together before I re-insert him into my fantasy lineup.

Tight Ends

Start/Sit

START Dalton Schultz @ Washington Football Team

It’s Andy Dalton folks. Needless to say temper your expectations for the entire Cowboys offense. However, Washington allows the 5th most fantasy points to the tight end position. Obviously, the matchup is favorable. Now consider the issues along the Cowboys offensive line. I believe Schultz will serve as the security blanket for Dalton; particualrly in the short-to-intermediate areas of the field. There’s a distinct possibility that the young tight end is peppered with targets and finds the endzone in Week 7.

Best of luck this weekend. Remember always start your STUDS and I take ZERO responsibility if these Start/Sit recommendations are wrong. Also, if my calls are right make certain you tell a friend. Start/Sit.

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CPGM Juice

Author: CPGM Juice