Stefon Diggs Dynasty Stock Market Update (Dynadaq)
Stefon’s new Diggs in Buffalo. How does a new team affect his Dynasty Stock and the value of John Brown and Cole Beasley?
It’s about time Stefon Diggs got traded from a Kirk Cousins led Vikngs team. Whether it was heated screaming matches on the sidelines. Or shot-taking in the media, Cousins and his receivers struggled to get on the same page. A fresh start with the upstart Buffalo Bills is what the doctor ordered for Diggs and his dynasty owners. Not only does he get a boost in a more pass friendly spread offense; but Diggs gets to be the unquestioned number one receiver on the team. No more fighting with Adam Thielen for targets in a run heavy scheme. Stefon Diggs will be the main weapon in an improved Bills passing game.
The “Bulls” will also point to the Josh Allen factor. Last season we saw glimpses of high level quarterback play from Allen. The next step in year three will be consistency. Stefon Diggs represents a legitimate WR1 and this should help Allen take his game to a new high. The expectation is that Bills will put the ball in Allen’s hands more to generate explossive plays via the passing game. The Bills still want to establish the run but the more Allen gets comfortable with the speed of the NFL and going through his progressions, the more trust he will earn from his couches.
Last but not least, we can’t forget about Allen’s mobility; his ability to extend plays and make huge gains down the field. That skill-set pairs really well with Diggs’ ability to get open. There will be many more opportunities for Stefon Diggs to make big plays outside the confines of the offense and after the catch. Cousins doesn’t have the same ability as Allen when it comes to making plays off schedule. The NFL is leaning more towards athleticism at the quarterback position; therefore the Allen and Diggs pairing could bring back strong gains in the future.
Bulls for John Brown and Cole Beasley
The familiarity with the quarterback and the system gives them the leg up to continue to produce in Buffalo. The rapport Brown and Allen had last season will not simply dissipate. Allen will more than likely continue to feed Brown down the field. Beasley’s role will remain the same as the dependable slot receiver to target in the middle of the field. Beasley can replicate a similar 106/67/778/6 line even with the addition of Stefon Diggs
Oh you think being the unquestioned number one receiver means stock up for Diggs!? Well, when you are the guy, the higher the likelihood you will matchup against opposing teams’ number one corner. Looking at the AFC East, Diggs have two dates with NFL’s top corner Stephon Gillmore; and two other games against Xavien Howard and Byron Jones. It’s not far-fetched to believe those will be four dud games for Stefon Diggs who will not have Thielen to clear out one-on-one opportunities for him to eat.
On top of the extra attention Stefon Diggs will face he has to learn a new offense; and build rapport with a new quarterback. It’s hard enough for a receiver to have success joining a new team but in this COVID era where preparation will be compromised, the challenge may be even greater. Previous wide receivers to struggle in their first year with a new team are Odell Beckham Jr, Allen Robinson, Sammy Watkins (twice), and DeSean Jackson.
While I understand Josh Allen is an ascending quarterback that improved in his 2nd season, he still only completed 58% of his passes. Allen has been marred with inaccuracy concerns since he days at Wyoming. He has never completed 60% of his passes in a full season in college or the pros. If Stefon Diggs was frustrated in Minnesota with Cousins completing 69% of his passes, then no one should be surprised if Diggs becomes impatient when the football isn’t exactly where he wants it. The once dubbed Siberia for receivers, Buffalo is a city where the weather may affect some ball games. Add weather concerns, to an inaccurate quarterback, learning a new offense, plus getting all the attention from top notch DBs and you have a recipe for disaster.
Bears for John Brown and Cole Beasley
There are a lot of factors working against the Bills two leading receivers in 2019. First and foremost, the elephant in the room,;Stefon Diggs. The Bills gave up a first round pick to acquire Diggs in a trade from the Vikings, therefore, he will be the unquestioned number one target in the offense. A team that wants to play defense and establish the run, especially when the weather gets colder, doesn’t lend itself for multiple receivers to own from a fantasy perspective. One of the two or possibly both incumbent receivers should see there numbers decline in 2020.
Couch Potato General Manager Recommendation
Currently I have a hold rating for Stefon Diggs. This first season may be a little rocky getting adjusted to the team, the system, the quarterback, and not playing in a dome for 8 home games. However, the talent and the upward trajectory of Josh Allen is intriguing. After this inaugural season for Diggs in Buffalo, I see an upward trajectory for him to flourish along with Josh Allen. The talent of Diggs as a route runner, deep ball threat, and run after the catch prowess pairs well with a quarterback that makes plays outside the pocket and can throw the ball 70 yards down the field.
The consistency and kinks will need to be ironed-out but I’m willing to make a trade for Diggs in the middle of the season after he struggles to make an immediate impact. Wait for a pull back before making a move on the Bills number one receiver.
Dynasty Stock Market Update
4-Star BUY Alert
One of the 49ers biggest needs entering the 2020 NFL Draft was a receiver they can pair with Deebo Samuel after losing Emmanuel Sanders in Free Agency. Enter first round selection Brandon Aiyuk. One of my favorite receivers throughout the evaluation process, Aiyuk displays an ability to get open anywhere on the football field. His best ability might be his prowess after the catch. We all got a glimpse of what Deebo could do last season paired with the imagination of head coach Kyle Shanahan, getting him the ball in space.
Aiyuk might very well be this year’s Deebo Samuel as he is a playmaker before the catch, as a runner on jet sweeps, and after the catch. Another big break for Aiyuk’s fantasy projections was the off-season injury to Samuel who broke a bone in his foot. The timetable for return is around 3 months but I don’t think the 49ers take any chances and rush their star receiver back after the issues they had with Trent Taylor’s recovery last season with that very same injury. Aiyuk is a guy to target.
Early 2nd round is an ideal spot for Aiyuk but for the bullish folks like myself, I won’t hesitate to draft him at the end of the 1st round.
Aiyuk is a 4-star BUY for me which places him as a primary trade target. I would throw out some veteran receivers like John Brown or A.J. Green to pluck him for his dynasty owner.
What does a 4-Star Buy ALERT mean?
- 1-Star = Secondary Waiver Claim (10% FAAB Budget)
- 2-Star = Secondary or “throw in” trade target (25% FAAB Budget)
- 3-Star = Primary Waiver Claim/Secondary trade target (50% FAAB Budget)
- 4-Star = Primary Trade Target (75% FAAB Budget)
- 5-Star = “League Winning” Waiver Claim/Trade Target (100% FAAB Budget)
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