Waiver Wire Add/Drop – “Buy or Bye” Week 12 – 2019

Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” off the Waiver for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.


The dust has settled on Week 11. With the playoffs looming and the trade deadline behind us in most leagues, how did your team(s) fare? Did you secure your playoff berth, or did you take steps to secure an all time league record in points for?

Either way, if you are reading this column, you are still in the hunt. And if you aren’t, kudos to you for continuing your research process if you’re officially eliminated. I’ve been in this situation before, and, it does help you prepare for next season and is absolute gold for dynasty players.

I will be writing to the very end to help you win your league and cement your rosters. Keep it up, we’re almost at the big dance folks!

Quarterbacks:

Buy – Sam Darnold, 22% Owned, New York

I can’t stop going back to the Sam Darnold well. And with a 22% ownership, it’s easy to be able to add him before a plus match-up vs. Oakland in Week 11.

And it seems that his early season woes have been alleviated by sub .500 competition in games vs the Giants and Washington. It’s funny how other teams poor play can do that for a QB. In those games, Darnold put up lines of 21.70 FP and 26.42 FP. During this spread, Darnold has thrown 5 TD’s, 1 interception, and 523 YDs.

Darnold has shown a clear connection with WR Jamison Crowder and TE Ryan Griffin during this span. With plus match-ups coming vs Oakland, Cincinnati, and Miami, I expect this chemistry to continue.

Imagine if Darnold can re-capture that end of season chemistry he showed with WR Robby Anderson at the end of last season? Wheels up.

I’m pressing the buy button on Darnold for Week 12-14 if in need of QB help.

Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • Jacoby Brissett, 38% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
  • Ryan Tannehill, 21% Owned,Tennessee Titans

Bye –  Matthew Stafford, 61% Owned, Detroit Lions

It’s been a trying two seasons for Matt Stafford. With an end of season back injury apparently behind him, Stafford was a consistent QB1 producer through 9 games nearly approaching 300+ yards in each game.

Alas, the broken vertebrates in his back have apparently flared up again, and was not healed properly after the off-season. It is unfortunate on many different levels for Stafford. Personally, his wife battled brain cancer in the off-season, and Stafford overcame his own injuries to come back in 2019. For the Lions offense, it is difficult to walk away from Stafford’s production and his clear chemistry with WRs Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. On a weekly basis, Stafford was making these players viable WR1 producers.

I’m wishing Stafford all the best as he is a true warrior, but I am waiving bye to him for the remainder of the 2019 season.

Running Backs:

Buy – Derrius Guice, 47% Owned, Washington Redskins

I’m a bit shocked that I’m able to write about Guice in this column after two weeks of recommending him as another “buy” candidate while I focused on RBs that had a clearer path to snaps.

Even with Adrian Peterson still commanding snaps in the Washington offense, Guice produced in his Week 11 return from injury. Guice flashed in the passing game, receiving a pass for 45 YDs and a TD. He added another 24 YDs in the run game while playing behind the ageless Peterson.

Washington faces a soft run defense schedule coming up vs Detroit (1st in YDs allowed to RBs), Carolina (5th), and Green Bay (3rd). Even if Peterson still sees the majority of running snaps, Washington is largely devoid of offensive weapons. With Guice’s explosive nature in both the run and pass game, I expect him to make splash plays and be a viable flex play for fantasy teams making their end of season push.

I’m buying Guice where he is available in all formats. If Guice isn’t available, I’d take a healthy dose of elite handcuffs, as well as the Indianapolis backfield.

Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • Tony Pollard, 12% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
  • Alexander Mattison, 29% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
  • Jonathon Williams, 4% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
  • Darrell Henderson, 21% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
  • Nyhiem Hines, 17% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
  • Jordan Wilkins, 1% Owned, Indianapolis Colts

Bye – Frank Gore, 37% Owned, Buffalo Bills

The ageless wonder Frank Gore’s career has been nothing short of incredible. With 9 1000+ rushing YD seasons under his belt, Gore doesn’t have much to prove in his age 36 season with the Buffalo Bills.

Gore has proven to be an invaluable mentor for young rookie back Devin Singletary, but this hasn’t equated to fantasy production.

Seeing the weak Dolphins run defense in Week 11, Gore while splitting snaps with Singletary only put up 5.50 FP. If there was any last hurrah to be had by Gore in fantasy, it was against a Miami defense that gives up the 8th most fantasy points vs the RB position. It just didn’t happen.

With a tough schedule upcoming vs Denver, Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and New England, I’m waiving bye to Gore for the fantasy playoffs.

Wide Receivers:

Buy – Darius Slayton, 25% Owned, New York Giants

Playoff winner alert, playoff winner alert.

With not many viable buys this week on the WR side, and Deebo Samuel’s ownership finally getting over 50%, I’m going back to Darius Slayton who was on Bye in Week 11.

Slayton’s first two games coming back from Bye are extremely difficult in Chicago and Green Bay.

But then green pastures emerge as we crest the fantasy playoffs with games vs Philadelphia, Miami, Washington and the Eagles again.

Slayton could cure what ails your fantasy team in the playoffs. Stash him until the playoffs as an early buy and reap the rewards in your fantasy playoffs.

Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • AJ Brown, 19% Owned, Tennessee Titans
  • Randall Cobb, 15% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
  • Diontae Johnson, 15% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Hunter Renfrow, 14% Owned, Oakland Raiders
  • Mecole Hardman, 33% Owned, Kansas City Chiefs
  • Taylor Gabriel, 7% Owned, Chicago Bears

Bye – Marquez Valdes-Scantling, 40% Owned, Green Bay Packers

I’ve stuck by one rule during my fantasy football career: don’t roster any Green Bay WR not named Davante Adams.

And, though I’ve missed a couple of boom weeks from fill in’s from WR’s receiving passes from Aaron Rodgers, it’s largely been a worry free strategy.

Not having to decide if it is an MVS game, or a Geronimo Allison game, or a Jake Kumerow game, or and Allen Lazard game, or wait, is it ESB game? No wait, it’s definitely going to be a Jimmy Graham game. You get the drift.

It’s allowed me to focus on things that matter, like WRs that will actually put up over 10 FP on a given week.

With the tough 49ers secondary on slate for Week 12, I’m waiving bye to this Green Bay Packers WR situation once and for all, and so should you.

Tight Ends:

Buy – Dallas Goedert, 19% Owned, Philadelphia Eagles

With the TE position being as grave as it is, it’s shocking that Goedert’s ownership remains below 50%. He has been an almost weekly feature on the “Buy or Bye” column, and I’m going to headline him once again here.

Here is all you need to know. Since Week 4, Goedert has averaged 9.72 FP/Week, and during that span has put up 4 TDs. This is a very solid floor for a position that is extremely volatile.

With the Eagles lacking many capable pass catchers, I like Goedert to continue this production down the stretch with plus match-ups vs Seattle, Miami, New York Giants and the Redskins.

Now go and buy Goedert and let’s get his ownership over 50%!

Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:

  • Jacob Hollister, 34% Owned, Seattle Seahawks
  • Mike Gesicki, 17% Owned, Miami Dolphins
  • Noah Fant, 28% Owned, Denver Broncos
  • David Njoku, 18% Owned, Cleveland Browns
  • Ryan Griffin, 4% Owned, New York Jets

Bye – Ross Dwelley, 14% Owned, San Francisco 49ers

It’s striking to me that Dwelley, the two week fill in for injured TE superstar George Kittle commanded a 14% ownership share while the aforementioned Goedert only has 19%.

Alas, this is what happens when a TE goes up against the porous Arizona defense. Destroyed by TEs all year, Arizona did not disapoint TE streamers and Dwelley owners. Dwelley put up 2 TDs and 17.40 FP, good for TE6 on the week.

Let’s not get it twisted. With Kittle set to return, Dwelley’s role is all but gone. Waive bye to Dwelley and appreciate him giving you a TE1 week while filling in for George Kittle.

Defensive Buy of the Week

Buy – Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

With their season all but declared over after 6 straight losses, the Falcons have came back to life after their bye.

How?

Refocusing on their defense, by making an interesting change at defensive co-ordinator. Quinn assigned WR coach Raheem Morris back to the defensive side of the ball to help refocus the group. Morris’ has focused on improving communication, one of his noted strengths, particularly in the defensive backfield. In a non traditional move, the defensive play calling has been split between early and late downs.

Though this isn’t typical, the results have been telling. The Falcons have not given up a TD in 2 games, both against NFC South divisional rivals, and strong offenses. During these two games, the D/ST have put up performances of 10 FP and 26 FP. The proof as they say, is in the pudding, and damn the pudding is sweet right now for this Atlanta defense.

It gets even sweeter for the revamped defense against NFC South foe the Buccaneers and the interception prone Jameis Winston. Winston is coming off a game where he threw for only 2 TDs and a whopping 4 interceptions. With the Buccaneers having nowhere to turn at QB but to Winston, expect him to be under center in Week 12 and up to his old shenanigans.

With this backfield now humming with 4 interceptions in their last game against Carolina, they are primed to pick Winston at least twice. And this isn’t even speaking anecdotally; Winston has given up an average of 1.8 interceptions a game and is on pace to tie Brett Favre’s record.

I’m buying the Falcons defense with confidence this week, and at only 3% ownership will be a sneaky buy this week.

For more fantasy content please visit CouchPotatoGM.com

About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.

Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.

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Author: Will Harris