Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” off the Waiver for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.
With only a week or two until the fantasy football playoffs kick off, how are you feeling about your chances? Are you coming into the playoffs on a hot streak, limping in, or, the clear cut favorite for the ‘chip?
No matter your situation, now is the time to shore up depth issues or to add some insurance for potential injury concerns. Even though we are late into the season, there are still gems to unearth on the waiver wire. Trust your process that has gotten you this far and don’t quit. There are some solid “buys” this week after Week 12 Byes that could be the difference maker for you this week.
Whatever your situation is, this week’s “Buy or Bye” will help you to continue to push forward to fantasy greatness.
Buy – Ryan Tannehill, 26% Owned, Tennessee Titans
If you missed out on my back to back weeks of Sam Darnold “buys”, don’t fret. We’ve got you covered with Ryan Tanne-thrill.
Left for dead by the Miami Dolphins, the Titans viewed Tannehill as a capable backup to 2nd overall pick Marcus Mariota. They believed that Tannehill could push Mariota to unlock some of the potential he displayed at Oregon.
Well, this script has played out much differently than originally planned. Tannehill is the clear #1 in Tennessee, and, Mariota is likely out of town this offseason. It might not be a fairy tale ending, but, I don’t think Tennessee could have asked for better results after Tannehill took over the offense after Week 6.
During his time as the starting QB, Tannehill has thrown for 1276 YDs, 10 TDs, only 4 interceptions and has put up an average of 23.18 FPG.
With an upcoming schedule that includes the Colts, Raiders, Texans (x2) and the Saints, I like Tannehill to continue to be a solid floor play for the remainder of the season. If Tannehill continues to unlock his legs, the ceiling appeal here is real as well.
I’m buying Tannehill where I need QB help and insurance heading into the playoffs.
Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Jacoby Brissett, 45% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
- Sam Darnold, 40% Owned, New York Jets
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, 10% Owned, Miami Dolphins
- Nick Foles, 33% Owned, Jacksonville Jaguars
Bye – Philip Rivers, 60% Owned, Los Angeles Chargers
Long looked to as the model of consistency for fantasy football teams, Philip Rivers has looked every part of “Old Man Rivers” this season.
Routinely drafted in the 9th round and the 11th QB pick off the board this off-season, Rivers has not lived up to his draft position. Rivers and the Chargers both have not lived up to their Super Bowl aspirations that the Charger faithful thought was so close last season.
Coming off their Week 12 Bye and a tough matchup @ Denver, Rivers is a complete fade in Week 13, and, if you need to win now, droppable.
If there is space on your bench, a playoff championship match vs Oakland in Week 16 is interesting. However, there are just better QB options that can be streamed in the meantime to get you into the big dance.
I’m waving bye to Rivers and hoping for a late season resurgence. Barring that, I think we are seeing the close of a phenomenal career by Rivers.
Buy – Rashaad Penny, 21% Owned, Seattle Seahawks
Don’t call it a breakout!
Alas, for many of us Penny truthers out there, his Week 12 performance might be the closest thing we’ve experienced to Penny “breaking” out.
Drafted in the 1st round by the Seahawks in 2018, it has long been thought that Penny was the heir apparent to the dominant Seattle run game. Even with the draft capital invested in Penny with the 27th pick, Pete Carroll and Co. have been reluctant to turn the reigns over to the 23 year old back.
Playing behind workhorse Chris Carson, Penny has made the most of his touches so far, averaging over 6 YPC. It was additional usage over the last 3 weeks that led to his “breakout” game in Week 12.
Coming off their Week 11 Bye, the Seahawks fed Penny for 14 touches, that resulted in 149 YDs and a TD. To put this into context, this is the same amount of touches Penny saw from weeks 8-10 in total.
It must be pointed out that this was the first time all season that Penny’s workload was higher than Carson’s. During Week 12, Carson only saw 8 carries to Penny’s 12. Has the Seahawks brain-trust finally got tired of the fumble problem of Carson and want to see what they have in Penny?
It’s tough to say as Seattle is constantly blowing hot air to reporters about who will lead this backfield, and for most player personnel issues.
One thing that isn’t blowing hot air is the 18.90 FP that Penny put up in Week 12. I’m buying Penny as an elite handcuff and a flex play going forward. Truthfully, he should have already been rostered in all competitive leagues. With an advantageous fantasy football playoff schedule, Penny should be a buy in all formats.
Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Tony Pollard, 13% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
- Alexander Mattison, 23% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
- Darrell Henderson, 21% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
- Nyhiem Hines, 21% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
Bye – Jay Ajayi, 17% Owned, Philadelphia Eagles
Upon Jay “Just A Guy-I”‘s return to Philadelphia, the RB put up a paltry 1.6 FP against Seattle in the Eagles loss.
With Miles Sanders receiving an increased workload with Jordan Howard out, and commanding the lions share of all passing down work, Ajayi was a non-factor.
With Howard set to return from a shoulder stinger for Week 13, Ajayi can be dropped.
Buy – Mecole Hardman, 28% Owned, Kansas City Chief
With a few sneaky Bye weeks happening last week, there is some good value on the Waiver Wire.
Mecole Hardman is one of those interesting pieces that could make for a valuable buy for Week 13.
Hardman was drafted with an eerily similar skill set to Tyreek Hill. Amidst Hill’s off the field troubles, some believed that Hardman would be tabbed to be Tyreek-Lite if Hill missed any regular season time.
In Hardman’s rookie season, he certainly has teased with elite speed and down the field play acumen. Its been a lack of a healthy Patrick Mahomes and a dearth of targets that haven’t allowed Hardman to unlock the potential that he has.
Don’t get it wrong, Hardman has flashed for fantasy purposes this year, having put up 5 TD’s in his rookie campaign.
With the weak Raiders secondary on tap for a rested Chiefs team in Week 13, I like Hardman to find the end zone in this matchup.
With Tyreek still banged up, and Sammy Watkins permanently MIA, Hardman could look to be the #2 option in Kansas City for the remainder of the season. If Mahomes is healthy, this is a great position to be in.
With tough coverage match-ups coming up after Oakland (New England, Denver, Chicago, Los Angeles Chargers) being the #2 might even be more valuable than being the #1. With Tyreek and Kelce drawing most of the tough assignments, it could allow Hardman to play against weaker opponents and win the 1 on 1 battles with his elite speed.
I’m buying Hardman where I need WR help in Week 13.
Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- AJ Brown, 17% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- Randall Cobb, 30% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
- James Washington, 20% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
- N’Keal Harry, 14% Owned, New England Patriots
Bye – Zach Pascal, 22% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
The biggest decision I had to make in this section wasn’t about the player who I would be waving “bye” to. No. Zach Pascal was the clear winner there.
What I needed to decide was who “miffed” the saying “fool me once, shame on you” better: former President George W. Bush or The Office’s Micheal Scott. Scott took the cake as his poise and delivery were filled with more conviction and less uncertainty than Bush’s attempt. Either one is good for a laugh though.
What is not a laughing matter though has been Pascal’s stat line in recent plus match-ups of 0 FP, 3.70 FP, and 4.6 FP. Two of these games were without star TY Hilton, and with Jacoby Brisset back under center. Ouch.
It wasn’t for a lack of volume either where Pascal saw over 14 targets during this stretch. Pascal’s lack of production probably put you at risk of making a playoff spot, and, he cannot be trusted moving forward.
With better buy options on the waiver wire and TY Hilton back in the lineup, I’m waving bye to Pascal in all formats.
Buy – Kyle Rudolph, 47% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
Over the fantasy football years, I’ve certainly taken my fair of shots at Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph. It made it particularly easy after he proclaimed himself one of the leagues best at the position after the 2013 season. Keep in mind this was still peak Gronk years, and Jason Witten and Jimmy Graham were still elite producers.
I’m not one to hold a grudge, as I’m much more interested in winning fantasy football championships than something silly a TE said at a charity dinner.
And Rudolph has produced with Adam Thielen out and Kirk Cousins looking for a checkdown option. Rudolph has put up weeks of 11.30 FP, 19.40 FP and 17.70 FP before the Vikings Week 12 Bye.
With a plus match-up vs a leaky Seattle defense that has given up the 3rd most FP to TE’s, I like Rudolph to continue his run in Week 13.
I’m buying Rudolph where I need TE help in Week 13. If Rudolph isn’t your cup of TE-a, there are plenty of intriguing options for you at the TE position this week.
Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:
- Darren Fells, 48% Owned, Houston Texans
- Jack Doyle, 33% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
- Noah Fant, 39% Owned, Denver Broncos
- David Njoku, 30% Owned, Cleveland Browns
- Ryan Griffin, 43% Owned, New York Jets
Bye – Eric Ebron, 62% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
I’ll keep this short: Ebron is on IR and by no means should be owned in any league.
He’ll miss the rest of the season, and, if you liked his role in the Colts offense, tap Jack Doyle as your TE buy this week to fill in his spot.
Defensive Buy of the Week
Buy – Carolina Panthers vs Washington
Oh my how I love this match-up.
With the Panthers at home, and, with a chip on their shoulder after a close divisional loss vs New Orleans, I wouldn’t want to be Washington in this one.
James Bradberry has continued to dominate in coverage on the right side of the field, and will play shadow to Terry McLaurin in Week 13. Carolina’s strength up the middle with Gerald McCoy up front in the trenches and Luke Kuechly at middle linebacker will prove troublesome for Washington’s weak O-Line.
With rookie Dwayne Haskins under center again for Washington, I like this to be a game where the Panthers D-line and secondary feast on the rookie QB.
I’m buying the Panthers D/ST where I need a win and they have startable match-ups coming up vs Atlanta and Seattle.
I’m taking this match-up over the Eagles vs Dolphins who actually have a bit of a higher ownership at 42% than the Panthers. I like the upside here of the Panthers and them being at home.
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About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.
Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.