Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” off the Waiver for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.
Did your league kick off the fantasy playoffs in Week 14? For most of us, this was the first round of the big dance. Did you smite your opponent? Or were you on the losing end of a heart-breaker like I was in my FFPC dynasty 1st round? And maybe, just maybe, you are one of the fortunate ones to have had a 1st round bye.
With a host of surprising high scoring games for Week 14 (Titans vs Raiders, Chargers vs Jaguars, 49ers vs Saints, Broncos vs Texans) what might have been a sure thing, may have evaporated in front of your eyes. The high overs in these games saw dominant performances from some “Buy or Bye” favorites: AJ Brown, Darius Slayton, and Ryan Tannehill. This is to say that even late in the season there is value to be found on the waiver wire, and for those of you still in the mix, we are here to help.
Let’s take a look at the players that will help you get one step closer to that fantasy football trophy.
Buy – Ryan Tannehill, 48% Owned, Tennessee Titans
If you do just one thing this week in fantasy football, it should be to buy Ryan Tannehill.
The discarded QB from South Beach has been a revelation since getting the starting job in Nashville.
Coming off a game vs the Raiders that saw Tannehill as the QB #6 in fantasy, Tannehill has willed the Titans into contention. Tannehill’s legs give him a great ceiling, and, has shown clear rapport with rookie WR A.J Brown.
With upcoming match-ups vs divisional rivals the Houston Texans, who just so happen to give up the 6th highest totals to QB’s, I like Tannehill to continue his run as a QB1.
With a game vs New Orleans sandwiched in between Texans games, and, just in time for your fantasy football final, I’m buying all the Tannehill I can get where I need a QB.
Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Jacoby Brissett, 37% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, 37% Owned, Miami Dolphins
- Mitchell Trubisky, 27% Owned, Chicago Bears
Bye – Sam Darnold, 41% Owned, New York Jets
In the words of country legend Kenny Rodgers “you gotta know when to hold em’, know when to walk away, and know when to run”.
I’m not much of a gambler outside of fantasy football, but I know it’s time to run on Darnold.
Often, as fantasy GM’s, we become too loyal to players that have helped us in the past. Darnold, who has been featured in “buy or bye” on multiple occasions, probably helped vault your QB needy team into playoff contention. He had a string of 4 games of 20+ FP, and, in all likely hood, was a contributing factor to you still reading this column.
However, smart GM’s will be able to recognize opportunity vs loyalty to a particular player. And with Baltimore up in Week 15, and then the resurgent Iron Curtain in Pittsburgh for the fantasy football finals, you need to not walk away from Darnold, but run.
Both of these defenses have dominant secondaries, and, in the case of Pittsburgh, a scary pass rush.
Use Darnold’s roster spot to handcuff your elite RB’s, or, another area of depth.
Thanks Sam for the ride to the playoffs, been a hell of a run.
Buy – Raheem Mostert, 51% Owned, San Francisco 49ers
I’ve kept to the format of this article to only include players that are under 50% owned in Yahoo Fantasy Football Leagues.
With Mostert just on the outside, and, being in the fantasy football playoffs, I could not resist adding him in the column.
I should have been able to spot Mostert’s ascension earlier, as his athletic measurables and spot usage performances are incredibly strong. Being signficantly invested in both Matt Breida, Tevin Coleman, and the non-playing Jerick McKinnon, I didn’t think it was possible another back could have life beneath the Golden Gate.
Mostert has proven to be the lead back, and, been dominant in his usage for the 49ers. During Weeks 13-14 where Mostert’s snap share eclipsed 60%, his production followed suit with games of 23.4 and 24.9 FP. Both were good for Top 5 RB fantasy production.
With upcoming games vs the Falcons and the Rams, I like Shanahan to continue to ride the hot hand in San Fran. I’m buying Mostert across all formats for both insurance and as a flex starter. It might also be wise to be proactive and acquire him to not be on the receiving end of one of his 20+ FP productions. Would be a sad way to lose your fantasy football champions!
Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Patrick Laird, 31% Owned, Miami Dolphins
- Alexander Mattison, 27% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
- Darrell Henderson, 14% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
- Peyton Barber, 23% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tony Pollard, 13% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
- Adrian Peterson, 46% Owned, Washington Redskins
- DeAndre Washington, 30% Owned, Oakland Raiders
Bye – Derrius Guice, 45% Owned, Washington Redskins
Guice has exhilirated every time he has been healthy and on the field. Unfortunately, that hasn’t been often since he has joined the NFL.
Now after being diagnosed with an MCL sprain, Guice’s season for all intents and purposes are over. If in desperation to fill his usage, look to fellow Washington RB Adrian Peterson, who should be available in most leagues.
I wish the speediest recovery for this youngster and hope that after 2019, Guice’s injury woes are behind him.
Buy – A.J Brown, 25% Owned, Tennessee Titans
This season there has been more “Buy or Bye” columns with Brown in them as a “buy” than without him.
And, for those that stashed Brown on your bench, you probably ensured a win in Round 1 of the fantasy playoffs.
Brown put up 33.60 FP versus the Raiders, and has upcoming match-ups vs Houston and New Orleans. For the same reasons we are buying Titans QB Ryan Tannehill, we are buying Brown.
Brown will be playing against middling secondaries in Houston and New Orleans and I like him to continue his production as a WR 1. His ownership right now does not reflect the talent or the opportunity and should be a “buy” in all formats.
Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Darius Slayton, 25% Owned, New York Giants
- Randall Cobb, 30% Owned, Dallas Cowboys
- James Washington, 20% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
- N’Keal Harry, 14% Owned, New England Patriots
Bye – Sammy Watkins, 70% Owned, Kansas City Chiefs
Often injured, rarely on the field.
That Watkins is owned in 70% of leagues is a clear sign that people still believe in the talent. This 70% is still chasing the production of Week 1 where Watkins put up 46.80 FP.
It’s not going to happen again this season, especially with fantasy football playoff matches vs Denver and Chicago.
I’m waving “bye” to Watkins if you haven’t already. He simply is not startable.
Buy – O.J Howard, 32% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Has O.J Howard season finally commenced?
This off-season, Howard was touted by many (myself included) as the next TE to enter elite territory.
The talent and production was there for Howard. But there was always something holding back Howard in the new Arians regime. What that was we might never know, but, for fantasy purposes, do we care?
We shouldn’t if Howard can give us startable TE1 numbers for the fantasy playoffs. Over the last 2 weeks, Howard has put up over 10 FP without logging a TD. His usage is a positive sign, and with Detroit and Houston upcoming, his production should continue. And with Mike Evans ruled out for the season, more usage out of the elite receiving skills of Howard could happen.
I’m buying Howard for his floor but am hoping to tap into his ceiling that we are yet to see this season.
Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:
- Noah Fant, 29% Owned, Denver Broncos
- Darren Fells, 35% Owned, Houston Texans
- David Njoku, 38% Owned, Cleveland Browns
- Tyler Highbee, 39% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
- Mike Gesicki, 29% Owned, Miami Dolphins
Bye – Vance McDonald, 49% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
McDonald has long been a tease for fantasy owners and 49ers and Steelers fans alike. His yards after catch ability is phenomenal, yet, is unpredictable and often disappears in juicy matchups.
In an offense that is starved for receivers and outlet options for 3rd string QB’s, you expected McDonald to explode against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 14. What did McDonald do? 1 reception for 3 YDs and 1.30 FP.
With a tough match-up vs Buffalo in Week 15, and a whole host of capable TE’s in plus match-ups for your semi-finals, you can’t hold McDonald any longer.
Defensive Buy of the Week
Buy – Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers
As the fantasy football playoffs wear on, it becomes harder and harder to find viable D/ST streamers. This isn’t because of match-ups, but more so determined by the hoarding of D/ST by some fantasy GM’s.
Even with teams holding on to 2+ D/ST, which, you should never do, we here at CPGM are still finding you options.
And what better option than the Seahawks vs the quickly disintegrating Panthers?
The wheels have came fully off for the Panthers, and are now giving up the 7th most FP to D/ST.
With Seattle fighting to catch the 49ers for the division lead, and, trying to lock down their Wild Card Berth, they have something to play for in Week 15. Their defense has been serviceable, and have some true game-breakers on special teams. Since Week 10, they’ve put up usable fantasy games of 18, 17, and 11 over that span, with only one stinker.
I’m buying Seattle where I need help on D/ST heading to the championship. And a fantasy football final vs the Arizona Cardinals isn’t the worst match-up.
Good luck this week!
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About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.
Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.