Waiver Wire Add/Drop – “Buy or Bye” Week 16 – 2019

Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” off the Waiver for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.

For many fantasy football GM’s, Week 15 was “the best of times, it was the worst of times”. With over 8 players putting up over 30+ fantasy points, the second round of the playoffs will go down as one of the highest scoring weeks of the season.

You would either be on the winning side of this record week, or, on the losing end. Either way, I hope you had fun doing it, and some of our early season favorites finally paid dividends. No better example than this is Miles Sanders who checked all the boxes pre-season, at the combine, and from his collegiate production. It is players like Sanders that require patience, and a good lesson to keep the faith in your process. You should be drafting players based on tangibles and with the intention of having them on your roster to help you win a championship.

Sanders’ 35.20 FP vs Washington in Week 15 will surely vault many fantasy teams into the big game. Imagine giving up on Sanders in the early season for some boom/bust WR?

Be patient. Believe. Talent trumps all.

Speaking of talent, there are some solid buys this week as you gear up for your championship game.

Quarterbacks:

Buy – Ryan Fitzpatrick, 25% Owned, Miami Dolphins

Let’s uncork the magic just one last time.

Fitzmagic has been playing lights out for most of the season after taking over for the Rosen Project. Fitzmagic is a polarizing player. He can make electric throws downfield that can just as easily end in touchdown or an interception.

Fitzpatrick has given life to the Dolphins and it’s hard not to root for this team that everyone counted out. Fitzpatrick has willed this team to 3 wins, and has been fantasy relevant almost every week. He’s put up 4 weeks of 20+ FP, and we don’t expect this to end next week against Cincinnati.

With DeVante Parker back, and solid receiving options in TE Mike Gesicki, WR Isaiah Ford and scat-back Patrick Laird, Fitzpatrick should continue to produce. Cincinnati has allowed the 9th most fantasy points to QB’s, and this Dolphins team has something to prove.

What better way to win a fantasy championship than behind the arm of Fitzmagic? I’m buying Fitzy across the board and know that he’ll help win championships vs a bunch of teams that overpaid for QB on draft day.

Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • Daniel Jones, 18% Owned, New York Giants
  • Mitchell Trubisky, 23% Owned, Chicago Bears
  • Gardner Minshew II, 15% Owned, Jacksonville Jaguars

Bye –  Josh Allen, 76% Owned, Buffalo Bills

Allen has become one of the most consistent floor plays of the 2019 season. In 2018, we were using Allen for his upside, mainly because of his scrambling and rushing ability.

In 2019, Allen’s rushing prowess has shown through on a weekly basis, but more to hit a floor than his ceiling. Allen’s improved weapons in John Brown and Cole Beasley have allowed him to not rely on his legs as much. Getting more in sync with the offense and maturing as a player has slowed down his fantasy pace. He’s becoming a better QB, but he’s just not giving fantasy teams that ceiling we had in Allen’s rookie year.

With a tough match-up in Week 16 I’m fading Allen in favor of a better match-up and a higher ceiling. If you are hard up at QB, and there aren’t the Ryan Fitzpatrick’s of the world available, Allen will still get you 15 FP.

But we are in this to win it, right? Make the change for a better match-up and you will potentially be rewarded with a fantasy championship. I’m saying bye to Josh Allen for the time being and buying him back during the late rounds of next year’s draft.

Running Backs:

Buy – Mike Boone, 2% Owned, Minnesota Vikings

Boone has teased with an impressive athletic profile combined with a knack for showing up in the pre-season.

His future was made even more uncertain by the drafting of Alexander Mattison in the 3rd round this year. This pick relegated Boone to backup of backup duty, not an ideal place for fantasy.

With the sensational yet injury prone Dalvin Cook succumbing to a shoulder injury sustained in Week 14, and Alexander Mattison unavailable, Boone got a chance on the big stage.

And he did not disappoint. Against the Chargers, Boone had 13 rushes for 56 YDs and two TDs. Not bad for a backups backup. This amounted to 17.60 FP on the week.

With divisional rivals Green Bay on deck for Week 16, and the health of Cook and Mattison uncertain, at the very least Boone is an important insurance policy for Cook owners.

In desperation if Cook and Mattison can’t go, Boone would be an adequate flex against the Packers who have been torn up by opposing RBs all season.

I’m buying Boone for the big dance.

Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • Patrick Laird, 45% Owned, Miami Dolphins
  • Kerryon Johnson, 39% Owned, Detroit Lions
  • Darrell Henderson, 13% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
  • Tony Pollard, 11% Owned, Dallas Cowboys

Bye – Jonathan Williams, 26% Owned, Indianapolis Colts

Williams was a waiver wire hero for Weeks 11+12 when Marlon Mack was out. The running back out of Arkansas was able to establish himself as the lead back in a muddy backfield. In both week 11+12, Williams put up over 100 rushing YDs. Impressive for this 25 year old Buffalo Bills castaway.

As quickly as replacement back can become relevant, they can just as quickly fade to oblivion with the return of the starter they were filling in for. Williams is no different.

Since Marlon Mack’s return, Williams has seen approximately zero snaps. Williams can be waved bye to in all formats.

Wide Receivers:

Buy – Breshad Perriman, 11% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It pains me to see the decimation of the mighty Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR corps. In Week 14, Mike Evans went down with a hamstring injury, giving an opportunity to a trio of Bucs pass catchers: Scotty Miller, Justin Watson, and the aforementioned Breshad Perriman. Week 15 saw more woe brought to this receiving corps: both Scotty Miller and breakout star Chris Godwin out with lower body injuries.

Perriman was already on his way to a productive day, but these additional injuries really opened up the field for the former 1st rounder. Perriman’s usage was still limited after these injuries, with him only seeing a 15% target share.

Even with the limited target share, Perriman made the most of his day taking in 5 catches for 113 YDs and 3 TDs. That made Perriman WR2 on the week with 34.60 FP. Perriman has long teased with an incredible athletic profile, and showed a resurgence in his career late last season with the Browns. I even had Perriman penciled into the last round of many best ball lineups given the tendencies of coach Bruce Arians to get his QB’s throwing the deep ball. This all came to fruition for Perriman in Week 15 and should continue.

With Evans, Miller and Godwin out for Week 16, Perriman will be a solid option in the championship round. Tampa Bay faces a Houston secondary that has given up the 15th most FP to WR. I like Perriman as a solid WR3, but don’t sleep on fellow teammate Justin Watson as well.

I’m buying Perriman where I need security at the WR spot in the championship round.

Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –

  • Anthony Miller, 26% Owned, Chicago Bears
  • Justin Watson, 6% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Zach Pascal, 49% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
  • James Washington, 32% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
  • John Ross, 14% Owned, Cincinnati Bengals
  • Diontae Johnson, 15% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Greg Ward, 2% Owned, Philadelphia Eagles

Bye – Josh Gordon, 40% Owned, Seattle Seahawks

“Flash” Gordon should be disapearring off all fantasy rosters, immediately.

Handed down his 5th suspension of his career for substance related matters, one can speculate that Gordon’s career is over.

It’s been a disappointing and frustrating career for the talented WR, and, it is my hope that he gets the help that he needs. It is also time for the NFL to take a look at it’s drug policies, and what is acceptable in terms of pain management. It is also my hope that Gordon can lead the charge in changing the leagues policy in regards to marijuana, and can help the league and its players learn from his past.

Tight Ends:

Buy – Mike Gesicki, 28% Owned, Miami Dolphins

Two Dolphins in the same article? This must be some kind of typo, right?

No.

My second Dolphin, TE Mike Gesicki has shown us this season why the Dolphins drafted him in the 2nd round out of Penn State.

Big, fast, and a smooth route runner, the Miami staff has done a good job getting him involved in passing plays, running 70% of Miami’s routes. Gesicki is also seeing 13.5% of the teams targets in the Red Zone, which is equivalent to his total target share this season at 13.9%. It is clear that Gesicki is a Red Zone option for Ryan Fitzpatrick, and it hasn’t quite transformed Gesicki into a TD machine with only 2 on the year. This is relative though as the Dolphins have been in some tough match-ups this year.

This will not be true in Week 16 when the Dolphins face off against the lowly Bengals. I’m buying Gesicki as a solid floor play that should find the end-zone for your football championship. I’d recommend going with O.J Howard if available as the Buccaneers receiving corps has been decimated by injuries as of late, and Howard’s usage has went up. If not, I’m comfortable with Gesicki filling my TE spot for the big dance.

Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:

  • O.J Howard, 41% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Jonnu Smith, 13% Owned, Tennessee Titans
  • Darren Fells, 33% Owned, Houston Texans

Bye – Gerald Everett, 30% Owned, Los Angeles Rams

The needle is pointing up for Rams TE’s. Both Everett and fellow Rams TE Tyler Higbee have long been interesting prospects. It was a matter of usage that limited their potential.

With the Rams trio of Kupp, Woods and Cooks being subjected to different injuries and personal issues, the young Rams TE’s have been able to blossom this season.

Everett however is currently out with an ankle injury, and in his absense Tyler Highbee has taken on extra duties and has produced.

Everett should not be owned as you go into the championship match-up. I’m waving bye to Everett for the big game but keeping a close eye on him and teammate Higbee heading into 2020.

Defensive Buy of the Week

Buy – Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions

This is it. You’ve made it to the big show by streaming your best possible QB, TE and defense on a weekly basis. For the most part, if you’ve followed “Buy or Bye” through the season, our D/ST recommendations have gotten you 10+ FP on a consistent basis.

This week, I’m buying the Broncos defense at home versus a lackluster Lions offense led by backup David Blough. The Broncos have taken some time to adjust to their new coaching staff, but have shown some signs of life on both sides of the ball.

Blough has given up 5 interceptions in his last 3 games, and has been sacked 9 times over this span. I don’t see Blough and the Lions line rectifying these issues before kickoff on Sunday.

With Marvin Jones Jr and T.J Hockenson done for the season, I like Chris Harris to shadow Kenny Golladay, and for the pass rush to get after Blough all game.

I’m buying the Denver D/ST anywhere I need help and a solid 10 points in my defense slot.

Good luck this week to all, and it’s been a great season. Appreciate you reaching out on social media and please don’t hesitate to ask your start/sit questions any time.

We’ll be launching a post fantasy season series looking at the biggest breakouts and bust of the fantasy season, and how we could have seen them coming. Tune in, and remember, always trust the process.

For more fantasy content please visit CouchPotatoGM.com

About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.

Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.

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Author: Will Harris