Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.
Did you feel that Week 6 gave you some fantasy clarity? Some piece of mind to the draft choices you made in the summer time? Or was it another frustrating day of under performing stars in your starting lineup, and breakout players sitting on your bench?
It’s the first week so far this year where things are starting to make sense for this fantasy footballer. Some of those players that I expected to be weekly starters, are living up to expectations. Robby Anderson finally got going with the return of Sam Darnold. In the same game, Zeke put up 20+ points and back to the weekly production that we expect from him. And then Miles Sanders had a week that showed why he was routinely being drafted in the 6th-7th round.
All signs are pointing in the right direction. I’d recommend staying the course on some players that have been frustratingly under performing so far. Some names I’d hold onto and not drop/trade: Travis Kelce, Joe Mixon, and DeAndre Hopkins. Their production currently does not equal their elite talent. In each of their cases, their usage is high and underlying metrics look good. Like this week was a get right week for many players, these players are just a few plays from being TE1, RB1, WR1. Stay the course.
In the meantime, I’ll give you some usable pieces for Week 7 until the above studs break out.
Buy – Kirk Cousins, 46% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
YOU LIKE THAT!???
I think that the State of Minnesota might react a bit differently if the much maligned Cousins ran down the tunnel screaming this after the Vikings defeated the Eagles 38-20 at home.
Look it, Kirk Cousins is what he is: a capable quarterback when given protection, adequate weapons, and a scheme that fits his skill set. He’s not elite, but, in the proper system Cousins has the ability to put up borderline QB1 numbers.
This was unlocked by the Minnesota coaching staff in Week 6 after a near revolt by star wideouts Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Couple this with an Eagles defense that keys in on the run, and the Vikings countered with a heavy dose of play action for Cousins to work off of.
The result? A Stefon Diggs sighting, and, the subsequent evisceration of the Eagles porous secondary. Diggs put up 167 YDs through the air on 7 receptions good for 3 TDs, and an additional 18 YDs on the ground. To say this was a get right game for Diggs is an understatement. Diggs 43.50 FP accounts for over half of his season long fantasy points through the first 5 weeks. Slot counterpart and fellow WR superstar Adam Thielen, put up a usable 17.70 FP, with 57 YDs and a TD.
Diggs explosion can be attributed to a bad Eagles secondary. But, what we saw out of Cousins was the ability to go deep, and, most importantly, connect with his star WR downfield.
Cousins line was 22/29, 1 INT, 4 TD, 333 YDs. The volume wasn’t high, but the efficiency and downfield accuracy was there. The lone interception was actually a juggled pass from Diggs that could have been another potential score.
I like Cousins next week against the Lions team that sells out to stop the run and have forced offenses to throw on them. The Lions have been giving up the 13th most FPPG to the QB position, and I like Cousins to continue to throw down field. After the Lions, Cousins has plus matchups versus Washington and Kansas City. These are games that your fantasy team need to take advantage of.
Throw away your bias on Cousins and just keep rolling the below clip through your head. It’ll make buying him all that much easier this week.
Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Sam Darnold, 15% Owned, New York Jets
- Kyle Allen, 10% Owned, Carolina Panthers
- Gardner Minshew, 13% Owned, Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jacoby Brissett, 42% Owned, Indianapolis Colts
- Daniel Jones, 29% Owned, New York Giants
Bye – Teddy Bridgewater, 20% Owned, New Orleans Saints
Teddy has done an admirable job filling in for an injured Drew Brees. While not tearing up the fantasy ranks, Bridgewater has been steady and led the Brees-less Saints to 4 straight gritty wins and to the top of the NFC South.
With a match-up against the Bears at Soldier Field for Week 7, and Brees imminent return, I’m waving bye to Bridgewater. In a week that sees a bunch of plus match-ups for streamer QBs, it doesn’t make sense to hold a roster spot for Bridgewater.
All the best Teddy, been a hell of a run.
Buy – Latavius Murray, 48% Owned, New Orleans Saints
Now let’s talk about someone in the Big Easy who needs to be owned across all leagues with Brees returning in a couple of weeks.
Latavius Murray was expected to fill in the Mark Ingram role that allowed the Saints to have two fantasy relevant RBs week in and week out.
The start for Murray hasn’t quite gone as expected, however, Murray’s play is not to blame. They’ve simply had to lean on Alvin Kamara to get the job done without Brees Hall of Fame worthy QB skills to make the passing game flow smoothly.
Murray over the last 5 years has quietly put up 35 rushing TDs since entering the league in 2014, and has a 1000 yard rushing season on his resume. Murray is a hammer, and, in the New Orleans rushing attack, there is a lot of value.
This is not even mentioning Murray’s value as a handcuff. Kamara struggled through an ankle injury in Week 6. I wouldn’t want to see anything happen to this blessed Saints team, but, if it did happen, Murray would take on the full Kamara workload.
I’m buying Latavius Murray if available and feeling blessed if he is still on the waiver wire.
Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Chase Edmonds, 34% Owned, Arizona Cardinals
- Darrell Henderson Jr., 29% Owned, Los Angeles Rams
- Alexander Mattison, 22% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
- Mark Walton, 4% Owned, Miami Dolphins
- Benny Snell Jr., 2% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
Bye – Wayne Gallman, 27% Owned, New York Giants
As I did my analysis this week, I had to do a few double takes when looking through the RB ownership on Yahoo:
Kareem Hunt is owned in 50% of leagues?
Kalen Ballage in 10%?
Giovani Bernard in 8%?
This is telling to the importance of the RB position in fantasy football. We are willing to roster handcuffs, of varying creed, just for a potential opportunity at a starting role in the NFL. It’s mind boggling to me that 50% of fantasy footballers have held onto Kareem Hunt for this long, wasting valuable roster space. Upon his potential return in Week 10, how he will used is unsure and we have no idea what state the Browns will be in by that point.
Hunt ownership boggled my mind, but not nearly as much as Wayne Gallman. Folks, here is a free therapy session for you: let it go. Let go of his Week 4 performance when he put up 27.80 FP when filling in for Saquon Barkley.
Barkley’s return is imminent, and, concussions are a tricky thing to recover from. Timelines are tough to nail down, and it is really day to day. There is simply better talent out there for you to have on your roster than Gallman.
Bye-bye Wayne, wish you the best in your recovery. A steady dose of fish oil and organically grown food would go a long way in that Giants locker room right now.
Buy – Jamison Crowder, 49% Owned, New York Jets
What might have been lost in the upset of the Cowboys along with a text book performance by WR Robby Anderson with Darnold under center was the stat line that Jamison Crowder put up.
We knew after Week 1 that the potential usage for Crowder was there: he received a whooping 17 targets in Week 1 putting up 99 yards in the season opener.
Crowder quietly put up 98 YDs on 9 targets, for 15.80 FP in Week 6. That’s a solid stat line in PPR when not scoring a TD.
I’ve long been a fan of Crowder since his days with the Redskins, and now fully healthy and with a capable quarterback in Sam Darnold, I like Crowder as a high priority buy this week.
After the Jets take their divisional drumming from the Patriots next week, check out this schedule: Jacksonville, Miami, New York Giants, Washington, Oakland, Cincinnati and then Miami.
I’m continuing to buy all the Jets I can before their inevitable unavoidable breakout game vs Miami in Week 9. Buy with confidence.
Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Auden Tate, 23% Owned, Cinncinnati Bengals
- AJ Brown, 19% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- Deebo Samuel, 23% Owned, San Francisco 49ers
- Keke Coutee, 16% Owned, Houston Texans
- N’Keal Harry, 6% Owned, New England Patriots
Bye – James Washington, 9% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
This is a simple one: you want no part of the Steelers passing game right now. The Steelers showed vs the Chargers what they intend to do: win with defense and pound the ball in the run game.
Washington is an interesting prospect, and, has shown immense chemistry with heir to the Big Ben QB throne Mason Rudolph during their college career and in the pre-season.
The time is not now for Washington. Wave bye and make room for someone that will start producing next week, or, a N’Keal Harry who is set to return in Week 9.
Buy – Ricky Seals-Jones, 3% Owned, Cleveland Browns
With an injury to waiver wire and Buy/Bye TE star Will Dissly, it is further proof that TE is truly a disaster. Even top TE draft choices such as Kelce, Ertz, and Kittle have failed to live up to their draft spot so far.
With these injuries, the TE landscape is especially barren. But, there is an oasis on the horizon. One that was ironically banished from the desert himself. That would be Ricky Seals-Jones.
The Browns showed incredible foresight adding RSJ when he was head shakingly dropped by the TE-less Cardinals.
RSJ has long tempted fantasy owners with his potential and incredible athletic profile. Given usage in Arizona, he actually put up usable fantasy weeks on more than one occasion. I’m not sure what happened in the desert, nor do I care. It’s clear that he has David Njoku’s Red Zone role for the time being. And I’m buying.
Seals-Jones has put up fantasy weeks of 17.20 vs Baltimore and 13.70 vs Seattle. I’m going to be clear: RSJ will be boom or bust and totally TD dependent. This is the role that the TE serves in the Cleveland offense. They are being used as the go to Red Zone threat if Nick Chubb is not getting the ball.
The upside on RSJ is higher than the other TEs available on the wire. If the Browns ever figured out their play calling, RSJ could legitimately be a weekly threat, as could the entire Browns offense.
Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:
- Chris Herndon, 27% Owned, New York Jets
- Noah Fant, 24% Owned, Denver Broncos
- Dawnson Knox, 16% Owned, Buffalo Bills
- Dallas Goedert, 9% Owned, Philadelphia Eagles
- Kyle Rudolph, 29% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
Bye – Any Kind of Predictable Analysis for TEs
With the recent string of TE injuries and the general volatility of the position, I can’t in good faith tell you to drop a TE this week.
If you aren’t set at TE, I’d actively try and trade for some players under-performing or that have a stable floor. A few targets I recommend: Travis Kelce, OJ Howard and Austin Hooper. In the case of Kelce, he’s due to breakout. For Howard, he can’t get worse. Some might think that Austin Hooper’s production is going to sway and will want to “sell-high”. Take them up on it as his production is here to last.
If not available on waivers, I’d also go after Dawson Knox as his ceiling looks enticing and the Bills have a soft schedule coming up.
Defensive Buy of the Week
Buy – Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants
Now, you fully have the right to laugh out loud at me recommending the Cardinals as a legitimate D/ST. However, as the season progresses, and fantasy owner engage in the bizarre behavior of D/ST hoarding, the Cardinals might be a legitimate option for your roster in Week 7.
We’ve recently seen Washington put up a usable D/ST week against the equally as low Dolphins in Week 6. I expect the Cardinals vs Giants total to be much higher, allowing for more potential turnovers and make the Cardinals a usable D/ST in Week 7.
With a rookie QB under center in Daniel Jones, he could be prone to additional turnovers in a high-scoring affair. I like this potential.
What is really driving this buy though, is the return of one of the best CBs in the game, Patrick Peterson. Peterson was suspended for the first 6 games of the season for P.E.D use.
Peterson has always played with an edge, and I expect him to try and make a statement during this game. He will make it tough on Danny Dimes and the Giants receiving corp all day. The Giants have given up the 10th most points to the D/ST so far this season, and I expect the Cards to put up what might be their only usable game of the season at D/ST.
I’m buying Arizona as this might be one of the only options available in your league that has legitimate upside.
Rainy Day Stash– Chris Herndon, TE, New York Jets
My love for Herndon is beginning to border on that creepy ex level. Like the kind of ex you haven’t talked to in months but they continue to send you meaningful soliloquies via text, like all of your stuff on social media even though you don’t follow them, leave you late night VM’s, and, you’re pretty sure they’ve rented the condo across from you and setup a telescope.
OK, it might not have went that far, but damn, it’s pretty close. In some leagues I felt so strongly about Herndon that I DRAFTED HIM and STASHED him for his potential Week 6 return. That’s definitely crazy X stuff right there, but, I love his potential.
I suffered through the 4 game suspension and subsequent Bye Week like a good fantasy football truther. My lineups were primed for Herndon’s big return, trading usable TE pieces like Greg Olsen to bolster other portions of my rosters.
Then, Herndon went down with a hamstring injury running routes by himself prior to the Jets Week 6 game vs. the Cowboys. Chris… running routes by yourself? I love the enthusiasm, but, you’re a professional athlete dude. Don’t you do enough of that in practice?
As you can probably can tell, it hurt me deeply having to cut Herndon from almost all of my season long squads prior to Week 6. I needed to get some kind of production out of the TE position. And as I’ve talked about, any type of production from TE is a blessing this season.
With that said, and if you have roster space, add Herndon. His anticipated return is as early as Week 8. I’ve talked about Herndon’s production in the past, and he was one of only two rookie TE to produce last season. The other? Baltimore Ravens breakout TE Mark Andrews.
The talent, potential usage, athleticism and QB are all there for Herndon. He just needs to get on the field!
I’m buying Herndon where I can afford the roster spot.
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About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.
Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.