Each week, CPGM writer @itsharristime will be letting you know who to “buy or bye” off the Waiver for your upcoming fantasy week. These are players that are owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. Scoring is based on full point PPR.
Hasn’t it been a roller-coaster of a season so far?
Before last week, the variance in week to week performance was at its highest since I started playing fantasy football. Outside of Chris Godwin, who could be counted on for WR1 production. Since when did a D/ST put up bankable RB1 like numbers on a weekly basis? Where was D.Hop? Is there any TE you can trust?
Just as we saw things starting to return to normal with a Zeke like performance in both Weeks 6-7, a dominant return of DeAndre Hopkins production in Week 7, another round of injuries hit. Welcome back to the roller-coaster ride.
Alvin Kamara=out. David Johnson=limited. Will Fuller=injured for multiple weeks. And the worst one of all, Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is expected to be out 3-4 weeks.
What do these injuries mean for fantasy footballers? Well, the good news is that if you follow this Waiver Wire column, you would have had insurance for the Kamara, DJ and Fuller injuries. Buy/Bye Waiver favorites Latavius Murray and Chase Edmonds put up RB1 and week winning numbers in Week 7 (32FP and 35FP). Keke Coutee also put up a respectable 11.90 FP and should see an increase in usage with Fuller out and playing against a weak Gareon Conley-less Oakland Raiders secondary in Week 8.
And don’t you worry. We’ll give you even more upside insurance pieces in your quest for a championship in this week’s Bye/Buy. If you weren’t scared off by my Cardinals buy on defense last week (14 FP), then you won’t be scared off by my first buy at QB.
Let’s look at the buys and byes of this theme park like game we play.
Buy – Ryan Tannehill, 4% Owned, Tennessee Titans
Earlier I talked about a roller coaster of a season. And what is more of a roller coaster ride than the Titans switching from the former second overall pick to Miami Dolphins washout Ryan Tannehill?
I’d imagine the only thing closer would be found at your local Six Flags. If you are in a situation where you need to start Tannehill this week, I’m sure the pit of your stomach has already dropped.
The good news of the Tannehill roller coaster ride? It’s bound to have some highs vs a porous Tampa Bay secondary that have given up the 6th most fantasy points to QBs so far this season. Tampa Bay has been stout against the run, but in doing so have allowed QBs to have their way throwing to WRs across the field. Tannehill should be able to take advantage of this.
In his first start, Tannehill put up over 20 FP vs the Los Angeles Chargers that has a more stout secondary than the Buccaneers. Tannehill was able to unlock the potential of two very talented WRs in Corey Davis and A.J. Brown. Davis put up 20 FP, and Brown had 12.20 FP. Tannehill threw for 312 Yds, and 2 TDs on 29 attempts. It’s also important to note that Brown and Davis saw the most targets they have this season with Tannehill under center.
It’s not sexy, but Tannehill has the weapons in Davis, Brown, Humphries and Jonnu Smith to put up numbers against the Bucs. From Tannehill’s time with the Dolphins, we know that he can put up fantasy relevant numbers when healthy. With Tannehill having a better arsenal now than during his time in South Beach, I’m buying Tannehill where I’m in need of a QB in Week 8.
Other Quarterbacks I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Sam Darnold, 33% Owned, New York Jets
- Cam Newton, 44% Owned, Carolina Panthers
- Derek Carr, 20% Owned, Oakland Raiders
- Teddy Bridgewater, 17% Owned, New Orleans Saints
Bye – Joe Flacco, 8% Owned, Denver Broncos
As I scour the waiver wire for buys, I’m always surprised to see ownership levels so high on certain players.
This holds true for former Super Bowl MVP Joe Flacco. Owned at 8%, there are just much better options as a weekly starter than Flacco. There is no need to stash him as there will be better streaming options on a weekly basis.
The Flacco breakout isn’t happening. I’m waving bye to Flacco in every format.
Buy – Ty Johnson, 4% Owned, Detroit Lions
Why do we save our FAAB and Waiver Priority?
To buy potential RB1s that are thrust into a starter role after injury. We did this two weeks ago with Chase Edmonds when David Johnson was struggling with a back injury. Last week we added Latavius Murray with speculation that Alvin Kamara might be sidelined.
And we hit pay dirt. Both Edmonds and Murray put up monster weeks of 30+ FP.
Don’t worry, if you missed out on these two buys, don’t hesitate going all in to get Ty Johnson.
Kerryon Johnson has seen a workhorse like role so far this season after the jettisoning of C.J. Anderson. Kerryon looked to be on a breakout trajectory before going down with a knee injury.
Welcome Ty Johnson into the mix.
Ty showed well at the NFL combine, putting up a 92nd percentile speed score in the 40 and has a workhorse like back frame at 5’11 and 210 lbs. Oozing potential and having a 1000 yd rushing yard season at Maryland, Ty Johnson will be thrust into Kerryon’s role in the coming weeks. The Lions have ran the 9th most run plays through the first 5 weeks, and I don’t see them slowing this down in Week 8 vs the Giants.
The Giants have allowed the 7th most points to the RB position, so Ty Johnson is a lock play this week.
I’m trying to buy Ty Johnson in every format. If needy at RB, I’m using my waiver priority and remaining FAAB budget to grab TJ.
Other Running Backs I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Chase Edmonds, 49% Owned, Arizona Cardinals
- Ronald Jones II, 48% Owned, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Alexander Mattison, 25% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
- Mark Walton, 20% Owned, Miami Dolphins
- Benny Snell Jr., 6% Owned, Pittsburgh Steelers
Bye – Rashaad Penny, 37% Owned, Seattle Seahawks
I think the dream is over for the Rashaad Penny breakout in 2019.
Plagued by injuries, and a commitment by the Seahawks coaching staff to continue to allow Chris Carson to run (and fumble) the ball, it’s tough to roster Penny.
Drafted routinely between the 6th-8th round in drafts this year, there are more valuable RBs that can be added this week over Penny. When healthy Penny has been used on less than 20% of the Seahawks snaps. Unless you have Chris Carson, there is no need to keep Penny.
Unless traded or a significant injury to Chris Carson, I’m waving bye to this former 1st rounder.
Buy – Kenny Stills, 14% Owned, Houston Texans
It wasn’t too long ago that I stated that the dream of a Stills breakout season had left us.
And, now, a couple of weeks after, I’m eating crow and letting everyone know that the Kenny Stills roller-coaster is ready to take you to new heights.
With an injury to his hamstring in Week 4, and the ascension of Will Fuller coupled with the return of Keke Coutee, it looked like Stills would be on the shelf for an extended period.
Apparently healthy for Week 7, Stills stepped in when Will Fuller went down and put up an impressive line: 5 targets, 4 catches, 105 yds and 14.5 FP.
Stills has been extremely efficient in limited use during his time with the Texans. Now stepping into the Will Fuller field stretcher role, I like Stills to build on his production with increased use. With a prime match-up vs Oakland in Week 8 and a Jalen Ramsey-less Jaguars in Week 9, I’m buying Stills where I need WR help with confidence.
Other Wide Receivers I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire –
- Corey Davis, 41% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- AJ Brown, 17% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- Auden Tate, 37% Owned, Cincinnati Bengals
- Keke Coutee, 14% Owned, Houston Texans
Bye – Demarcus Robinson, 36% Owned, Kansas City Chiefs
It doesn’t seem like timing this season is on the side of the Chiefs. Tyreek Hill looked fantastic in his two game return, but, as Hill came back to health, star QB Patrick Mahomes was sidelined with a dislocated knee.
Not the best timing for the Chiefs, or for the ancillary receiving weapons that have produced boom weeks for fantasy footballers this season.
Demarcus Robinson is one of those weapons that is reliant upon Mahomes rocket arm and pinpoint accuracy. His slate shattering Week 2 vs the Raiders has long since past and I don’t think that a healthy Tyreek Hill and a major downgrade in QB with Matt Moore is the answer for Robinson.
With a tough defensive schedule ahead (Green Bay, Minnesota, Tennessee, Los Angeles Chargers), I’m fading all fringe Chiefs WRs. Same can go for Mecole Hardman and Byron Pringle. These players aren’t relevant without Patrick Mahomes.
Buy – Dallas Goedert, 13% Owned, Philadelphia Eagles
I’m not a fan of chasing last week’s production. It’s a bad way to burn through FAAB and your waiver priority. It’s also a way to banish an under-performing player that might have just had a bad week.
Either way, it is not a good practice in fantasy football. You might think I’m doing this by suggesting to buy Goedert after his 14.90 FP in Week 7. But, he has been a regular in my “other buy” candidates at the TE position for multiple weeks.
Goedert is immensely talented, and, if a Top 5 TE didn’t already exist on the Eagles in Zach Ertz, Goedert could be a Top 5 option at the position.
Drafted in 2nd round in 2017 by the Eagles before divisional rival and TE desperate Dallas Cowboys, Goedert popped in college at South Dakota State with 2 1000+ yd seasons.
The Eagles are routinely running 2 TE sets, and they are trying to find ways to win. Whether the ball is going to Ertz or it’s going to Goedert, it doesn’t seem to matter to the Eagles.
With this, I’m confident buying Goedert. At worst he is a TD or bust TE like most other TEs in the NFL. On the upside? If Ertz is moved to shore up the bleedy Philly secondary, Goedert’s trajectory is only going up, up and away. Sames goes if Ertz is injured.
Plus who doesn’t love a dude that brings slushees to his teammates?
Other Tight Ends I’m Buying on the Waiver Wire:
- Chris Herndon, 29% Owned, New York Jets
- Jonnu Smith, 0% Owned, Tennessee Titans
- Dawnson Knox, 27% Owned, Buffalo Bills
- Kyle Rudolph, 29% Owned, Minnesota Vikings
Bye – Trey Burton, 23% Owned, Chicago Bears
Even in the barren wasteland that is TE in 2019, Trey Burton should be waved bye to.
Burton long tempted with flashes of talent as part of the Philadelphia Eagles and was a secret weapon for Doug Pederson. This hasn’t been the case in Chicago. Whether this is because of a string of injuries, bad QB play, or scheme fit, it’s unclear.
Burton is being used on less than 60% of snaps, and is only being used on passing plays 52% of the time. These type of underlying stats, plus injury history are not encouraging for Burton.
The continued regression of QB Mitchell Trubisky is another death blow for Burton.
I’m waving bye to Burton as his usage, injury history and being in an offense with Bortles North is terrifying.
Defensive Buy of the Week
Buy – Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins
Adding any defense against the Dolphins at this point of the season should be a no brainer.
The fact that the Dolphins are traveling to Heinz Field against a revived Steelers defense after their bye should be downright terrifying for them.
Sure, the Steelers Super Bowl chances are all but gone without HOF QB Ben Roethlisberger sidelined for the season. But with the addition of Minkah Fitzpatrick via trade from the Dolphins and the rise of LB Devin Bush, this defense is on the rise.
I expect that the Pittsburgh Blitz will be in full force vs a sub-par offensive line for the Dolphins. This will cause whoever is at QB for Miami to toss the ball under pressure, allowing former Dolphin Fitzpatrick to feast in the secondary.
If you are in need of a win this week and the Steelers are on waivers, I’d put them third on priority behind Ty Johnson and Kenny Stills.
Could be a New England Patriots defense type week in Pittsburgh this week. Or should I say an RB1 type ride?
What a season folks, hold on to your seats as it’s just getting fun!
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About the Author- @itsharristime is relatively new to the fantasy football scene having spent most of his life watching and playing hockey like a good Canadian. He’s making up for lost time by playing big on Draft, FanDuel, and is involved in season long and dynasty leagues on FFPC, Yahoo, ESPN and MyFantasyLeague. Steeler football, family, rock n’ roll and keeping things simple.
Seek value and have no player bias=winning formula.